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We develop a rigorous walk-forward validation framework for algorithmic trading designed to mitigate overfitting and lookahead bias. Our methodology combines interpretable hypothesis-driven signal generation with reinforcement learning and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Gagan Deep , Akash Deep , William Lamptey

The basis of arbitrage methods depends on the circulation of information within the framework of the financial market. Following the work of Modigliani and Miller, it has become a vital part of discussions related to the study of financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-12 Kiran Sharma , Abhijit Dutta , Rupak Mukherjee

The problem of detecting bots, automated social media accounts governed by software but disguising as human users, has strong implications. For example, bots have been used to sway political elections by distorting online discourse, to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Sneha Kudugunta , Emilio Ferrara

It is part of our daily social-media experience that seemingly ordinary items (videos, news, publications, etc.) unexpectedly gain an enormous amount of attention. Here we investigate how unexpected these events are. We propose a method…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-09 José M. Miotto , Eduardo G. Altmann

Social media posts provide valuable insight into the narrative of users and their intentions, including providing an opportunity to automatically model whether a social media user is depressed or not. The challenge lies in faithfully…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Hamad Zogan , Imran Razzak , Shoaib Jameel , Guandong Xu

Recent advances in deep learning have spurred the development of end-to-end frameworks for portfolio optimization that utilize implicit layers. However, many such implementations are highly sensitive to neural network initialization,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Manuel Parra-Diaz , Carlos Castro-Iragorri

Support and resistance (SR) levels are central to technical analysis, guiding traders in entry, exit, and risk management. Despite widespread use, traditional SR identification methods often fail to adapt to the complexities of modern,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Boris Kriuk , Logic Ng , Zarif Al Hossain

While stock prediction task traditionally relies on volume-price and fundamental data to predict the return ratio or price movement trend, sentiment factors derived from social media platforms such as StockTwits offer a complementary and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Xiang Li , Yiyan Qi , Jian Guo , Xiaowen Chu

There is a consensus about the good sensing characteristics of Twitter to mine and uncover knowledge in financial markets, being considered a relevant feeder for taking decisions about buying or holding stock shares and even for detecting…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-20 Ana Fernández Vilas , Rebeca Díaz Redondo , Antón Lorenzo García

Stock price prediction has always been a difficult task for forecasters. Using cutting-edge deep learning techniques, stock price prediction based on investor sentiment extracted from online forums has become feasible. We propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Huiyu Li , Junhua Hu

The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan

Money launderers take advantage of limitations in existing detection approaches by hiding their financial footprints in a deceitful manner. They manage this by replicating transaction patterns that the monitoring systems cannot easily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Haseeb Tariq , Alen Kaja , Marwan Hassani

To run a cloud application with the required service quality, operators have to continuously monitor the cloud application's run-time status, detect potential performance anomalies, and diagnose the root causes of anomalies. However,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Ruyue Xin , Hongyun Liu , Peng Chen , Paola Grosso , Zhiming Zhao

Midterm stock price prediction is crucial for value investments in the stock market. However, most deep learning models are essentially short-term and applying them to midterm predictions encounters large cumulative errors because they…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-06 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Xiao-Yang Liu , Christina Dan Wang

Social media platforms like Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram have enabled connection and communication on a large scale. It has revolutionized the rate at which information is shared and enhanced its reach. However, another side of the coin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Apurva Wani , Isha Joshi , Snehal Khandve , Vedangi Wagh , Raviraj Joshi

Ethereum smart contracts hold tens of billions of USD in DeFi and NFTs, yet comprehensive security analysis remains difficult due to unverified code, proxy-based architectures, and the reliance on manual inspection of complex execution…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Shuzheng Wang , Yue Huang , Zhuoer Xu , Yuming Huang , Jing Tang

While keyphrase extraction has received considerable attention in recent years, relatively few studies exist on extracting keyphrases from social media platforms such as Twitter, and even fewer for extracting disaster-related keyphrases…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Jishnu Ray Chowdhury , Cornelia Caragea , Doina Caragea

The increasing popularity of Twitter renders improved trustworthiness and relevance assessment of tweets much more important for search. However, given the limitations on the size of tweets, it is hard to extract measures for ranking from…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2013-08-13 Srijith Ravikumar , Kartik Talamadupula , Raju Balakrishnan , Subbarao Kambhampati

Social media plays a major role during and after major natural disasters (e.g., hurricanes, large-scale fires, etc.), as people ``on the ground'' post useful information on what is actually happening. Given the large amounts of posts, a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Chidubem Arachie , Manas Gaur , Sam Anzaroot , William Groves , Ke Zhang , Alejandro Jaimes

As the problem of drug abuse intensifies in the U.S., many studies that primarily utilize social media data, such as postings on Twitter, to study drug abuse-related activities use machine learning as a powerful tool for text classification…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Han Hu , NhatHai Phan , James Geller , Stephen Iezzi , Huy Vo , Dejing Dou , Soon Ae Chun
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