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We study a class of Gaussian processes for which the posterior mean, for a particular choice of data, replicates a truncated Taylor expansion of any order. The data consist of derivative evaluations at the expansion point and the prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Toni Karvonen , Jon Cockayne , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

This manuscript goes through the fundamental connections between statistical mechanics and estimation theory by focusing on the particular problem of compressive sensing. We first show that the asymptotic analysis of a sparse recovery…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Ali Bereyhi , Ralf R. Müller , Hermann Schulz-Baldes

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

We consider the one-dimensional totally asymmetric simple exclusion model (TASEP model) with open boundary conditions and present the analytical computations leading to the exact formula for distance clearance distribution, i.e. probability…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2018-01-08 Milan Krbalek , Pavel Hrabak

Regularization is a common tool in variational inverse problems to impose assumptions on the parameters of the problem. One such assumption is sparsity, which is commonly promoted using lasso and total variation-like regularization.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

We present a theory to describe the dynamics of the Sherrington- Kirkpatrick spin-glass with (sequential) Glauber dynamics in terms of deterministic flow equations for macroscopic parameters. Two transparent assumptions allow us to close…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 A. C. C Coolen , D. Sherrington

We present a randomized maximum a posteriori (rMAP) method for generating approximate samples of posteriors in high dimensional Bayesian inverse problems governed by large-scale forward problems. We derive the rMAP approach by: 1) casting…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-12 Kainan Wang , Tan Bui-Thanh , Omar Ghattas

Tractable generalizations of the Gaussian distribution play an important role for the analysis of high-dimensional data. One very general super-class of Normal distributions is the class of $\nu$-spherical distributions whose random…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2010-08-05 Fabian Sinz , Matthias Bethge

In this paper, a Bayesian inference technique based on Taylor series approximation of the logarithm of the likelihood function is presented. The proposed approximation is devised for the case, where the prior distribution belongs to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-06 Tohid Ardeshiri , Umut Orguner , Fredrik Gustafsson

In this work we consider Bayesian inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. We present a method to compute an approximate of the posterior with a limited number of model simulations. The method features an inverse Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-23 Hongqiao Wang , Ziqiao Ao , Tengchao Yu , Jinglai Li

An approximate numerical approach to spin models is proposed, in which the original lattice is transformed into a tree. This method is applied to the Edwards-Anderson spin glass model in two and three dimensions. It captures the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Naoki Kawashima

We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

In a companion paper we developed the generalized TAP approach for general multi-species spherical mixed $p$-spin models. In this paper, we use it to compute the limit of the free energy at any temperature for all pure multi-species…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Eliran Subag

We propose a novel sparse spectrum approximation of Gaussian process (GP) tailored for Bayesian optimization. Whilst the current sparse spectrum methods provide desired approximations for regression problems, it is observed that this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ang Yang , Cheng Li , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

In previous work, theoretical analysis based on the tensor Restricted Isometry Property (t-RIP) established the robust recovery guarantees of a low-tubal-rank tensor. The obtained sufficient conditions depend strongly on the assumption that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Feng Zhang , Wendong Wang , Jingyao Hou , Jianjun Wang , Jianwen Huang

Substantial research on structured sparsity has contributed to analysis of many different applications. However, there have been few Bayesian procedures among this work. Here, we develop a Bayesian model for structured sparsity that uses a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Barbara E. Engelhardt , Ryan P. Adams

In this article, we study the binary classification problem with supervised data, in the case where the covariate-to-probability-of-success map is possibly spatially inhomogeneous. We devise nonparametric Bayesian procedures with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Matteo Giordano

Let ${\boldsymbol A}\in{\mathbb R}^{n\times n}$ be a symmetric random matrix with independent and identically distributed Gaussian entries above the diagonal. We consider the problem of maximizing $\langle{\boldsymbol \sigma},{\boldsymbol…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Andrea Montanari

In the setting of nonparametric multivariate regression with unknown error variance, we study asymptotic properties of a Bayesian method for estimating a regression function f and its mixed partial derivatives. We use a random series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-13 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

Prior distributions for Bayesian inference that rely on the $l_1$-norm of the parameters are of considerable interest, in part because they promote parameter fields with less regularity than Gaussian priors (e.g., discontinuities and…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-02 Zheng Wang , Johnathan M. Bardsley , Antti Solonen , Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk
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