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The classical likelihood ratio test (LRT) based on the asymptotic chi-squared distribution of the log likelihood is one of the fundamental tools of statistical inference. A recent universal LRT approach based on sample splitting provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Robin Dunn , Aaditya Ramdas , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

We propose a general method for constructing hypothesis tests and confidence sets that have finite sample guarantees without regularity conditions. We refer to such procedures as "universal." The method is very simple and is based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Wasserman et al. (2020, PNAS, vol. 117, pp. 16880-16890) constructed estimator agnostic and finite-sample valid confidence sets and hypothesis tests, using split-data likelihood ratio-based statistics. We demonstrate that the same approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-24 Hien Duy Nguyen

A recent line of work provides new statistical tools based on game-theory and achieves safe anytime-valid inference without assuming regularity conditions. In particular, the framework of universal inference proposed by Wasserman, Ramdas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Hongjian Shi , Mathias Drton

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

Particle physics experiments use likelihood ratio tests extensively to compare hypotheses and to construct confidence intervals. Often, the null distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic is approximated by a $\chi^2$ distribution,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , Jelle Aalbers , Knut Dundas Morå , Jan Conrad

The paper considers the distribution of a general linear combination of central and non-central chi-square random variables by exploring the branch cut regions that appear in the standard Laplace inversion process. Due to the original…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-15 Alfred Kume , Tomonari Sei , Andrew T. A. Wood

The authors propose a robust semi-parametric empirical likelihood method to integrate all available information from multiple samples with a common center of measurements. Two different sets of estimating equations are used to improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-03 Hsiao-Hsuan Wang , Yuehua Wu , Yuejiao Fu , Xiaogang Wang

Calibration of mean estimates for predictions is a crucial property in many applications, particularly in the fields of financial and actuarial decision-making. In this paper, we first review classical approaches for validating…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-29 Łukasz Delong , Mario Wüthrich

We investigate a generalized empirical likelihood approach in a two-group setting where the constraints on parameters have a form of U-statistics. In this situation, the summands that consist of the constraints for the empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-04 Jihnhee Yu , Luge Yang , Albert Vexler , Alan D. Hutson

This paper explores methods for estimating or approximating the total variation distance and the chi-squared divergence of probability measures within topological sample spaces, using independent and identically distributed samples. Our…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Chong Xiao Wang , Wee Peng Tay

We present a new way of testing ordered hypotheses against all alternatives which overpowers the classical approach both in simplicity and statistical power. Our new method tests the constrained likelihood ratio statistic against the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-26 Diaa Al Mohamad , Jelle J. Goeman , Erik W. van Zwet , Eric A. Cator

It is well-known that in some situations it is not easy to compute the likelihood function as the datasets might be large or the model is too complex. In that contexts composite likelihood, derived by multiplying the likelihoods of subjects…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo , Konstantinos Zografos

The small sample universal hypothesis testing problem is investigated in this paper, in which the number of samples $n$ is smaller than the number of possible outcomes $m$. The goal of this work is to find an appropriate criterion to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn

We address the issue of performing testing inference in generalized linear models when the sample size is small. This class of models provides a straightforward way of modeling normal and non-normal data and has been widely used in several…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-16 Tiago M. Vargas , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Artur J. Lemonte

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

This paper introduces a statistical test inferring whether a variable allows separating two classes by means of a single critical value. Its test statistic is the prediction error of a nonparametric threshold classifier. While this approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Fabian Schroeder

Thousands of experiments are analyzed and papers are published each year involving the statistical analysis of grouped data. While this area of statistics is often perceived -- somewhat naively -- as saturated, several misconceptions still…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Sara Algeri , Estate V. Khmaladze

A new test statistic based on success runs of weighted deviations is introduced. Its use for observations sampled from independent normal distributions is worked out in detail. It supplements the classic $\chi^{2}$ test which ignores the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell

This paper concerns the construction of tests for universal hypothesis testing problems, in which the alternate hypothesis is poorly modeled and the observation space is large. The mismatched universal test is a feature-based technique for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn
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