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Climate change is commonly associated with an overall increase in mean temperature in a defined past time period. Many studies consider temperature trends at the global scale, but the literature is lacking in in-depth analysis of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-12 Qibin Duan , Clare A. McGrory , Glenn Brown , Kerrie Mengersen , You-Gan Wang

This paper demonstrates that pre-trained language models (PLMs) are strong foundation models for on-device meteorological variables modeling. We present LM-Weather, a generic approach to taming PLMs, that have learned massive sequential…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-03 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

Despite the increasing importance of forecasts of renewable energy, current planning studies only address a general estimate of the forecast quality to be expected and selected forecast horizons. However, these estimates allow only a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-03 Jens Schreiber , Artjom Buschin , Bernhard Sick

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to predict human behavior. We propose a measure for evaluating how much knowledge a pretrained LLM brings to such a prediction: its equivalent sample size, defined as the amount of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Wayne Gao , Sukjin Han , Annie Liang

Accurate weather forecast reporting enables individuals and communities to better plan daily activities and agricultural operations. However, the current reporting process primarily relies on manual analysis of multi-source data, which…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Zinan Zheng , Yang Liu , Nuo Chen , Juepeng Zheng , Hong Cheng , Jia Li

Weather and atmospheric patterns are often persistent. The simplest weather forecasting method is the so-called persistence model, which assumes that the future state of a system will be similar (or equal) to the present state. Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Maria Perez-Ortiz , Pedro A. Gutierrez , Peter Tino , Carlos Casanova-Mateo , Sancho Salcedo-Sanz

Advances in deep learning systems have allowed large models to match or surpass human accuracy on a number of skills such as image classification, basic programming, and standardized test taking. As the performance of the most capable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Sarah Pratt , Seth Blumberg , Pietro Kreitlon Carolino , Meredith Ringel Morris

This paper presents a Deep Learning (DL) framework for 48-hour forecasting of temperature, solar irradiance, and relative humidity to support Model Predictive Control (MPC) in smart HVAC systems. The approach employs a stacked Bidirectional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Georgios Vamvouras , Konstantinos Braimakis , Christos Tzivanidis

Current climate models often struggle with accuracy because they lack sufficient resolution, a limitation caused by computational constraints. This reduces the precision of weather forecasts and long-term climate predictions. To address…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-03 Adib Bazgir , Yuwen Zhang

For effective planning and management of water resources and implementation of the related strategies, it is important to ensure proper estimation of evaporation losses, especially in regions that are prone to drought. Changes in climatic…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-10-12 Mustafa Al-Mukhtar

Extreme events pose significant risks and are challenging to predict. Assessing climate hazards requires placing quantitative constraints on geophysical fields under observable but fluctuating conditions. We propose a framework for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-27 Andrew Brettin , Laure Zanna

Machine learning (ML) has recently shown significant promise in modelling atmospheric systems, such as the weather. Many of these ML models are autoregressive, and error accumulation in their forecasts is a key problem. However, there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Raghul Parthipan , Mohit Anand , Hannah M. Christensen , J. Scott Hosking , Damon J. Wischik

Solar flares create adverse space weather impacting space and Earth-based technologies. However, the difficulty of forecasting flares, and by extension severe space weather, is accentuated by the lack of any unique flare trigger or a single…

Accurately forecasting the weather is a key requirement for climate change mitigation. Data-driven methods offer the ability to make more accurate forecasts, but lack interpretability and can be expensive to train and deploy if models are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Dominic J. Skinner , Romit Maulik

Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the…

Atmospheric Extreme Events (EEs) cause severe damages to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of EEs and other associated events are increasing in the current climate change and global warming risk. The accurate…

We discuss the emerging advances and opportunities at the intersection of machine learning (ML) and climate physics, highlighting the use of ML techniques, including supervised, unsupervised, and equation discovery, to accelerate climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-20 Ching-Yao Lai , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Aditi Sheshadri , Maike Sonnewald , Raffaele Ferrari , Venkatramani Balaji

Accurate rainfall forecasting is critical because it has a great impact on people's social and economic activities. Recent trends on various literatures show that Deep Learning (Neural Network) is a promising methodology to tackle many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-08 Seongchan Kim , Seungkyun Hong , Minsu Joh , Sa-kwang Song

Climate models lack the necessary resolution for urban climate studies, requiring computationally intensive processes to estimate high resolution air temperatures. In contrast, Data-driven approaches offer faster and more accurate air…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-05 Fatemeh Chajaei , Hossein Bagheri

We present a data-driven approach for forecasting global weather using graph neural networks. The system learns to step forward the current 3D atmospheric state by six hours, and multiple steps are chained together to produce skillful…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-16 Ryan Keisler
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