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Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

In observational surveys, post-stratification is used to reduce bias resulting from differences between the survey population and the population under investigation. However, this can lead to inflated post-stratification weights and,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-24 Yannick Vandendijck , Christel Faes , Niel Hens

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

When analyzing spatially referenced event data, the criteria for declaring rates as "reliable" is still a matter of dispute. What these varying criteria have in common, however, is that they are rarely satisfied for crude estimates in small…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Harrison Quick , Guangzi Song

Accurate and precise estimates of the under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) are an important health summary for countries. However, full survival curves allow us to better understand the pattern of mortality in children under five. Modern…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-19 Taylor Okonek , Katherine Wilson , Jon Wakefield

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Michael J. Pencina , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Estimating the prevalence of a medical condition, or the proportion of the population in which it occurs, is a fundamental problem in healthcare and public health. Accurate estimates of the relative prevalence across groups -- capturing,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Divya Shanmugam , Kaihua Hou , Emma Pierson

Mortality patterns at a subnational level or across subpopulations are often used to examine the health of a population. In small populations, however, death counts are erratic. To deal with this problem, demographers have proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Esther Denecke , Pavel Grigoriev , Roland Rau

Public health policy makers are faced with making crucial decisions rapidly during infectious disease outbreaks such as that caused by SARS-CoV-2. Ideally, rapidly deployed representative health surveys could provide needed data for such…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-16 Yan Li , Laura Yee , Sally Hunsberger , Matthew J. Memoli , Kaitlyn Sadtler , Barry I. Graubard

While non-invasive sampling is more and more commonly used in capture-recapture (CR) experiments, it carries a higher risk of misidentifications than direct observations. As a consequence, one must screen the data to retain only the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-04 Rémi Fraysse , Rémi Choquet , Carlo Costantini , Roger Pradel

Prior to clinical applications, it is critical that risk prediction models are evaluated in independent studies that did not contribute to model development. While prospective cohort studies provide a natural setting for model validation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-13 Parichoy Pal Choudhury , Anil K. Chaturvedi , Nilanjan Chatterjee

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

The cause of failure in cohort studies that involve competing risks is frequently incompletely observed. To address this, several methods have been proposed for the semiparametric proportional cause-specific hazards model under a missing at…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-24 Giorgos Bakoyannis , Ying Zhang , Constantin T. Yiannoutsos

Readily available proxies for time of disease onset such as time of the first diagnostic code can lead to substantial risk prediction error if performing analyses based on poor proxies. Due to the lack of detailed documentation and labor…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Stephanie F. Chan , Jue Hou , Xuan Wang , Tianxi Cai

Risk modeling with EHR data is challenging due to a lack of direct observations on the disease outcome, and the high dimensionality of the candidate predictors. In this paper, we develop a surrogate assisted semi-supervised-learning (SAS)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Jue Hou , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

Machine learning models often have uneven performance among subpopulations (a.k.a., groups) in the data distributions. This poses a significant challenge for the models to generalize when the proportions of the groups shift during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Rui Qiao , Zhaoxuan Wu , Jingtan Wang , Pang Wei Koh , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

Typically, electronic health record data are not collected towards a specific research question. Instead, they comprise numerous observations recruited at different ages, whose medical, environmental and oftentimes also genetic data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Nir Keret , Malka Gorfine

Statistical estimation and inference for marginal hazard models with varying coefficients for multivariate failure time data are important subjects in survival analysis. A local pseudo-partial likelihood procedure is proposed for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jianwen Cai , Jianqing Fan , Haibo Zhou , Yong Zhou

Multi-level modeling is an important approach for analyzing complex survey data using multi-stage sampling. However, estimation of multi-level models can be challenging when we combine several datasets with distinct hierarchies with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Seho Park , A James OMalley