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We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhimanyu Das , Rajat Sen , Ananda Theertha Suresh

We study maximum likelihood estimation for the statistical model for undirected random graphs, known as the $\beta$-model, in which the degree sequences are minimal sufficient statistics. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions, based…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2013-06-19 Alessandro Rinaldo , Sonja Petrović , Stephen E. Fienberg

We outline how modern likelihood theory, which provides essentially exact inferences in a variety of parametric statistical problems, may routinely be applied in practice. Although the likelihood procedures are based on analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-23 Alessandra R. Brazzale , Anthony C. Davison

We study the consistency and optimality of the maximum marginal likelihood estimate (MMLE) in the hyperparameter inference for large-degree-of-freedom models. We perform main analyses within the exponential family, where the natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Dye SK Sato , Yukitoshi Fukahata

Although the $p_1$ model was proposed 40 years ago, little progress has been made to address asymptotic theories in this model, that is, neither consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) nor other parameter estimation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Qunqiang Feng , Yaru Tian , Ting Yan

With the multiallelic parent-independent mutation-drift model, the equilibrium proportions of alleles are known to be Dirichlet distributed. A special case is the biallelic model, in which the proportions are beta distributed. A sample…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-07 Claus Vogl , Lynette Caitlin Mikula

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

The asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under regularity conditions is a cornerstone of statistical theory. In this paper, we give explicit upper bounds on the distributional distance between the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Andreas Anastasiou

This paper considers the problem of estimating a power-law degree distribution of an undirected network using sampled data. Although power-law degree distributions are ubiquitous in nature, the widely used parametric methods for estimating…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

In many complex statistical models maximum likelihood estimators cannot be calculated. In the paper we solve this problem using Markov chain Monte Carlo approximation of the true likelihood. In the main result we prove asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Wojciech Rejchel

The maximum likelihood principle is widely used in statistics, and the associated estimators often display good properties. indeed maximum likelihood estimators are guaranteed to be asymptotically efficient under mild conditions. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Christophe Culan , Claude Adnet

Maximum likelihood estimation in statistics leads to the problem of maximizing a product of powers of polynomials. We study the algebraic degree of the critical equations of this optimization problem. This degree is related to the number of…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fabrizio Catanese , Serkan Hosten , Amit Khetan , Bernd Sturmfels

We analyse a maximum-likelihood approach for combining phylogenetic trees into a larger `supertree'. This is based on a simple exponential model of phylogenetic error, which ensures that ML supertrees have a simple combinatorial description…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-17 Mike Steel , Allen Rodrigo

This paper focuses on nonparametric statistical inference of the hazard rate function of discrete distributions based on $\delta$-record data. We derive the explicit expression of the maximum likelihood estimator and determine its exact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Martín Alcalde , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Lina Maldonado , Gerardo Sanz

This paper considers an extension of the multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution to matrix variate case. The symmetric Laplace distribution is a scale mixture of normal distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

The skew-normal and the skew-$t$ distributions are parametric families which are currently under intense investigation since they provide a more flexible formulation compared to the classical normal and $t$ distributions by introducing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-13 Adelchi Azzalini , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as an elementary example of a probability model. Maximum likelihood estimation of the mode parameter of the triangular distribution over the unit interval…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-11-08 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

Maximum likelihood is the most widely used statistical estimation technique. Recent work by the authors introduced a general methodology for the construction of estimators for functionals in parametric models, and demonstrated improvements…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-29 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

In this paper, we provide an explicit probability distribution for classification purposes. It is derived from the Bayesian nonparametric mixture of Dirichlet process model, but with suitable modifications which remove unsuitable aspects of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-05 Ruth Fuentes-Garcia , Ramses H Mena , Stephen G Walker