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We propose statistical procedures for detecting changes in the mean of spatial random fields observed on regular grids. The proposed framework provides a general approach to change detection in spatial processes. Extending a block-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Sheila T. Görz , Roland Fried

Conditional local independence is an asymmetric independence relation among continuous time stochastic processes. It describes whether the evolution of one process is directly influenced by another process given the histories of additional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Alexander Mangulad Christgau , Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

In this paper, we consider the fundamental problem of testing for monotone trend in a time series. While the term "trend" is commonly used and has an intuitive meaning, it is first crucial to specify its exact meaning in a hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

We propose nonparametric open-end sequential testing procedures that can detect all types of changes in the contemporary distribution function of possibly multivariate observations. Their asymptotic properties are theoretically investigated…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic , Alex Verhoijsen

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

We consider a nonparametric heteroscedastic time series regression model and suggest testing procedures to detect changes in the conditional variance function. The tests are based on a sequential marked empirical process and thus combine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer

In this paper, we propose Test-Time Training, a general approach for improving the performance of predictive models when training and test data come from different distributions. We turn a single unlabeled test sample into a self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Yu Sun , Xiaolong Wang , Zhuang Liu , John Miller , Alexei A. Efros , Moritz Hardt

We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Marcio Poletti Laurini

We provide a statistical analysis of a tool in nonlinear-type time-frequency analysis, the synchrosqueezing transform (SST), for both the null and non-null cases. The intricate nonlinear interaction of different quantities in SST is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Matt Sourisseau , Hau-Tieng Wu , Zhou Zhou

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

The problems of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for three models of stochastic processes are considered. The null hypothesis for all models is composite parametric. All tests are based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Yury A. Kutoyants

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

Temporal data, notably time series and spatio-temporal data, are prevalent in real-world applications. They capture dynamic system measurements and are produced in vast quantities by both physical and virtual sensors. Analyzing these data…

With the advancement of GPS and remote sensing technologies, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected from various domains, driving the need for effective and efficient prediction methods. Given spatial data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Zhe Jiang

The assumption of normality has underlain much of the development of statistics, including spatial statistics, and many tests have been proposed. In this work, we focus on the multivariate setting and first review the recent advances in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Wanfang Chen , Marc G. Genton

I present an approach for modeling areal spatial covariance by considering the stationary distribution of a spatio-temporal Markov random walk. In the areal data case, this stationary distribution corresponds to an intrinsic simultaneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-06 Ephraim M. Hanks

We consider the problem of testing the mean of high-dimensional data when the dimension may grow without explicit rate restrictions relative to the sample size. The proposed procedure is based on the statistic V_n = n||Xn||^2, which avoids…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Dietmar Ferger

A new bivariate partial sum process for locally stationary time series is introduced and its weak convergence to a Brownian sheet is established. This construction enables the development of a novel self-normalized CUSUM test statistic for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Florian Heinrichs

A weakly dependent time series regression model with multivariate covariates and univariate observations is considered, for which we develop a procedure to detect whether the nonparametric conditional mean function is stable in time against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer