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Prediction algorithms assign numbers to individuals that are popularly understood as individual "probabilities" -- what is the probability of 5-year survival after cancer diagnosis? -- and which increasingly form the basis for life-altering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Cynthia Dwork , Michael P. Kim , Omer Reingold , Guy N. Rothblum , Gal Yona

This paper deals with uncertainty quantification and out-of-distribution detection in deep learning using Bayesian and ensemble methods. It proposes a practical solution to the lack of prediction diversity observed recently for standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Antoine de Mathelin , François Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

It is crucial to detect when an instance lies downright too far from the training samples for the machine learning model to be trusted, a challenge known as out-of-distribution (OOD) detection. For neural networks, one approach to this task…

When deploying a trained machine learning model in the real world, it is inevitable to receive inputs from out-of-distribution (OOD) sources. For instance, in continual learning settings, it is common to encounter OOD samples due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Chuanwen Feng , Wenlong Chen , Ao Ke , Yilong Ren , Xike Xie , S. Kevin Zhou

In many contemporary statistical and machine learning methods, one needs to optimize an objective function that depends on the discrepancy between two probability distributions. The discrepancy can be referred to as a metric for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Yijin Ni , Xiaoming Huo

The estimation of information measures of continuous distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. In this paper, we analyze estimates of differential entropy in $K$-dimensional Euclidean space,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Georg Pichler , Pablo Piantanida , Günther Koliander

With the recently rapid development in deep learning, deep neural networks have been widely adopted in many real-life applications. However, deep neural networks are also known to have very little control over its uncertainty for unseen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Wenhu Chen , Yilin Shen , Hongxia Jin , William Wang

The ``differentiability gap'' presents a primary bottleneck in Earth system deep learning: since models cannot be trained directly on non-differentiable scientific metrics and must rely on smooth proxies (e.g., MSE), they often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Filippo Quarenghi , Ryan Cotsakis , Tom Beucler

In a recent paper, the authors proposed a general methodology for probabilistic learning on manifolds. The method was used to generate numerical samples that are statistically consistent with an existing dataset construed as a realization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-30 C. Soizea , R. Ghanem , C. Safta , X. Huan , Z. P. Vane , J. Oefelein , G. Lacaz , H. N. Najm , Q. Tang , X. Chen

The ultimate purpose of the statistical analysis of ordinal patterns is to characterize the distribution of the features they induce. In particular, knowing the joint distribution of the pair Entropy-Statistical Complexity for a large class…

In machine learning, the performance of a classifier depends on both the classifier model and the separability/complexity of datasets. To quantitatively measure the separability of datasets, we create an intrinsic measure -- the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Shuyue Guan , Murray Loew

While hidden class models of various types arise in many statistical applications, it is often difficult to establish the identifiability of their parameters. Focusing on models in which there is some structure of independence of some of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Elizabeth S. Allman , Catherine Matias , John A. Rhodes

In this paper, we present a novel approach that combines deep metric learning and synthetic data generation using diffusion models for out-of-distribution (OOD) detection. One popular approach for OOD detection is outlier exposure, where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Assefa Seyoum Wahd

The one-class classification problem is a well-known research endeavor in pattern recognition. The problem is also known under different names, such as outlier and novelty/anomaly detection. The core of the problem consists in modeling and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-03-31 Lorenzo Livi , Alireza Sadeghian , Witold Pedrycz

Existing theories on deep nonparametric regression have shown that when the input data lie on a low-dimensional manifold, deep neural networks can adapt to the intrinsic data structures. In real world applications, such an assumption of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Zixuan Zhang , Minshuo Chen , Mengdi Wang , Wenjing Liao , Tuo Zhao

In many learning theory problems, a central role is played by a hypothesis class: we might assume that the data is labeled according to a hypothesis in the class (usually referred to as the realizable setting), or we might evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Lunjia Hu , Charlotte Peale

Semi-supervised learning has emerged as an appealing strategy to train deep models with limited supervision. Most prior literature under this learning paradigm resorts to dual-based architectures, typically composed of a teacher-student…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Martin Van Waerebeke , Gregory Lodygensky , Jose Dolz

The problem of detecting whether a test sample is from in-distribution (i.e., training distribution by a classifier) or out-of-distribution sufficiently different from it arises in many real-world machine learning applications. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Kimin Lee , Honglak Lee , Kibok Lee , Jinwoo Shin

We investigate the concept of entropy in probabilistic theories more general than quantum mechanics, with particular reference to the notion of information causality recently proposed by Pawlowski et. al. (arXiv:0905.2992). We consider two…

Computing the reachability probability in infinite state probabilistic models has been the topic of numerous works. Here we introduce a new property called \emph{divergence} that when satisfied allows to compute reachability probabilities…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Alain Finkel , Serge Haddad , Lina Ye
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