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Many real objects are modeled as discrete sets of points, such as corners or other salient features. For our main applications in chemistry, points represent atomic centers in a molecule or a solid material. We study the problem of…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Daniel Widdowson , Vitaliy Kurlin

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

Univariate isotonic regression (IR) has been used for nonparametric estimation in dose-response and dose-finding studies. One undesirable property of IR is the prevalence of piecewise-constant stretches in its estimates, whereas the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Assaf P. Oron , Nancy Flournoy

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

We propose a model for multiclass classification of time series to make a prediction as early and as accurate as possible. The matrix sequential probability ratio test (MSPRT) is known to be asymptotically optimal for this setting, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Taiki Miyagawa , Akinori F. Ebihara

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

In this work, we propose a novel information theoretic framework for dictionary learning (DL) and sparse coding (SC) on a statistical manifold (the manifold of probability distributions). Unlike the traditional DL and SC framework, our new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-02-06 Rudrasis Chakraborty , Monami Banerjee , Victoria Crawford , Baba C. Vemuri

Recognizing subtle historical patterns is central to modeling and forecasting problems in time series analysis. Here we introduce and develop a new approach to quantify deviations in the underlying hidden generators of observed data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-09 Yi Huang , Ishanu Chattopadhyay

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta

Clustering is a widely deployed unsupervised learning tool. Model-based clustering is a flexible framework to tackle data heterogeneity when the clusters have different shapes. Likelihood-based inference for mixture distributions often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Yubo Zhuang , Xiaohui Chen , Yun Yang

In this paper, we propose a novel information theoretic framework for dictionary learning (DL) and sparse coding (SC) on a statistical manifold (the manifold of probability distributions). Unlike the traditional DL and SC framework, our new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-08 Rudrasis Chakraborty , Monami Banerjee , Baba C. Vemuri

We consider a lognormal diffusion process having a multisigmoidal logistic mean, useful to model the evolution of a population which reaches the maximum level of the growth after many stages. Referring to the problem of statistical…

Selecting important spatial-dependent variables under the nonhomogeneous spatial Poisson process model is an important topic of great current interest. In this paper, we use the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Logarithm of the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-16 Guanyu Hu , Fred Huffer , Ming-Hui Chen

Data assimilation is the process of estimating the state of a dynamical system over time by combining model predictions with measurements. This task becomes challenging when the system is nonlinear and high-dimensional. To address this,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Eunbi Yoon , Won Chang , Donghan Kim , Dae Wook Kim

In the literature, a large body of work advocates the use of log-ratio transformation for multivariate statistical analysis of compositional data. In contrast, few studies have looked at how data transformation changes the efficacy of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Raymond Leung

For point patterns observed in natura, spatial heterogeneity is more the rule than the exception. In numerous applications, this can be mathematically handled by the flexible class of log Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs); in brief, a LGCP is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Jiří Dvořák , Jesper Møller , Tomáš Mrkvička , Samuel Soubeyrand

Building upon the one-step replica symmetry breaking formalism, duly understood and ramified, we show that the sequence of ordered extreme values of a general class of Euclidean-space logarithmically correlated random energy models…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-20 Xiangyu Cao , Yan V. Fyodorov , Pierre Le Doussal

The problem of parameter estimation by i.i.d. observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process is considered in situation of misspecification. The model is that of a Poissonian signal observed in presence of a homogeneous Poissonian noise.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 O V Chernoyarov , S Dachian , Yu A Kutoyants

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

Merging the two cultures of deep and statistical learning provides insights into structured high-dimensional data. Traditional statistical modeling is still a dominant strategy for structured tabular data. Deep learning can be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Jianeng Xu