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Accurately forecasting power outages is a complex task influenced by diverse factors such as weather conditions [1], vegetation, wildlife, and load fluctuations. These factors introduce substantial variability and noise into outage data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Subhabrata Das , Bodruzzaman Khan , Xiao-Yang Liu

Forecasting load at the feeder level has become increasingly challenging with the penetration of behind-the-meter solar, as this self-generation (also called total generation) is only visible to the utility as aggregated net-load. This work…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-11 Allison M. Campbell , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Orestis Vasios , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

A deep learning model is applied for predicting block-level parking occupancy in real time. The model leverages Graph-Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNN) to extract the spatial relations of traffic flow in large-scale networks, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Shuguan Yang , Wei Ma , Xidong Pi , Sean Qian

The growing penetration of renewable energy sources in power systems has increased the complexity and uncertainty of load forecasting, especially for integrated energy systems with multiple energy carriers. Traditional forecasting methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Jiaheng Li , Donghe Li , Ye Yang , Huan Xi , Yu Xiao , Li Sun , Dou An , Qingyu Yang

Accurate and reliable electricity load forecasts are becoming increasingly important as the share of intermittent resources in the system increases. Distribution System Operators (DSOs) are called to accurately forecast their production and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-11 Pål Forr Austnes , Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile , Mario Paolone

Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (PTSF) plays a crucial role in decision-making across various fields, including economics, energy, and transportation. Most existing methods excell at short-term forecasting, while overlooking the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Xingjian Wu , Xiangfei Qiu , Hongfan Gao , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

Photovoltaic power forecasting (PVPF) is a critical area in time series forecasting (TSF), enabling the efficient utilization of solar energy. With advancements in machine learning and deep learning, various models have been applied to PVPF…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Dayin Chen , Xiaodan Shi , Mingkun Jiang , Haoran Zhang , Dongxiao Zhang , Yuntian Chen , Jinyue Yan

Extreme weather events, intensified by climate change, increasingly challenge aging combined sewer systems, raising the risk of untreated wastewater overflow. Accurate forecasting of sewer overflow basin filling levels can provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Tianheng Ling , Vipin Singh , Chao Qian , Felix Biessmann , Gregor Schiele

This paper introduces a generative AI approach to probabilistic forecasting of real-time electricity market signals, including locational marginal prices, interregional price spreads, and demand-supply imbalances. We present WIAE-GPF, a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-25 Xinyi Wang , Qing Zhao , Lang Tong

Operational flare forecasting aims at providing predictions that can be used to make decisions, typically at a daily scale, about the space weather impacts of flare occurrence. This study shows that video-based deep learning can be used for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-13 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

This paper considers a typical solar installations scenario with limited sensing resources. In the literature, there exist either day-ahead solar generation prediction methods with limited accuracy, or high accuracy short timescale methods…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-12 Yubo Wang , Bin Wang , Rui Huang , Chi-Cheng Chu , Hemanshu R. Pota , Rajit Gadh

We develop a mixed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) regression model to predict the maximum solar flare intensity within a 24-hour time window 0$\sim$24, 6$\sim$30, 12$\sim$36 and 24$\sim$48 hours ahead of time using 6, 12, 24 and 48 hours of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-26 Zhenbang Jiao , Hu Sun , Xiantong Wang , Ward Manchester , Tamas Gombosi , Alfred Hero , Yang Chen

The ground state electron density -- obtainable using Kohn-Sham Density Functional Theory (KS-DFT) simulations -- contains a wealth of material information, making its prediction via machine learning (ML) models attractive. However, the…

Solar irradiance forecasts can be dynamic and unreliable due to changing weather conditions. Near the Arctic circle, this also translates into a distinct set of further challenges. This work is forecasting solar irradiance with Norwegian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Niklas Erdmann , Lars Ø. Bentsen , Roy Stenbro , Heine N. Riise , Narada Warakagoda , Paal Engelstad

We present a framework for forecasting significant wave height on the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean using the long short-term memory algorithm (LSTM), trained with the ERA5 database available through Copernicus Climate Data Store (CDS)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-28 Felipe C. Minuzzi , Leandro Farina

This work presents a deep-learning approach to estimate atmospheric density profiles for use in planetary entry guidance problems. A long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is trained to learn the mapping between measurements available…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-31 Jens A. Rataczak , Davide Amato , Jay W. McMahon

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

The smart metering infrastructure has changed how electricity is measured in both residential and industrial application. The large amount of data collected by smart meter per day provides a huge potential for analytics to support the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski

Recent developments related to the energy transition pose particular challenges for distribution grids. Hence, precise load forecasts become more and more important for effective grid management. Novel modeling approaches such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Elena Giacomazzi , Felix Haag , Konstantin Hopf
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