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Related papers: On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression

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Ordinal learning (OL) is a type of machine learning models with broad utility in health care applications such as diagnosis of different grades of a disease (e.g., mild, modest, severe) and prediction of the speed of disease progression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Lujia Wang , Hairong Wang , Yi Su , Fleming Lure , Jing Li

We provide a framework for accelerating reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms by heuristics constructed from domain knowledge or offline data. Tabula rasa RL algorithms require environment interactions or computation that scales with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Ching-An Cheng , Andrey Kolobov , Adith Swaminathan

Time-series experiments, also called switchback experiments or N-of-1 trials, play increasingly important roles in modern applications in medical and industrial areas. Under the potential outcomes framework, recent research has studied…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Zhexiao Lin , Peng Ding

Spatial autocorrelation in regression models can lead to downward biased standard errors and thus incorrect inference. The most common correction in applied economics is the spatial heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC)…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-05 Alexander Lehner

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

Time series has wide applications in the real world and is known to be difficult to forecast. Since its statistical properties change over time, its distribution also changes temporally, which will cause severe distribution shift problem to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Yuntao Du , Jindong Wang , Wenjie Feng , Sinno Pan , Tao Qin , Renjun Xu , Chongjun Wang

The advantages of adaptive experiments have led to their rapid adoption in economics, other fields, as well as among practitioners. However, adaptive experiments pose challenges for causal inference. This note suggests a BOLS (batched…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-12 Jan Kemper , Davud Rostam-Afschar

In this paper, an atomic hybrid sparse/diffuse (aHSD) channel model in the frequency domain is proposed. Based on a structural analysis of the resolvable paths and diffuse scattering statistics, the Hybrid Atomic-Least-Squares (HALS)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Lei Lyu , Maxime Ferreira Da Costa , Urbashi Mitra

In multivariate time series systems, key insights can be obtained by discovering lead-lag relationships inherent in the data, which refer to the dependence between two time series shifted in time relative to one another, and which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Under normality and homoscedasticity assumptions, Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) is known to be optimal in terms of minimising the Bayes error for binary classification. In the heteroscedastic case, LDA is not guaranteed to minimise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Kojo Sarfo Gyamfi , James Brusey , Andrew Hunt , Elena Gaura

We study the fundamental problem of high-dimensional mean estimation in a robust model where a constant fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. Recent work gave the first polynomial time algorithms for this problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rong Ge

The Halpern iteration for solving monotone inclusion problems has gained increasing interests in recent years due to its simple form and appealing convergence properties. In this paper, we investigate the inexact variants of the scheme in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Ling Liang , Zusen Xu , Kim-Chuan Toh , Jia-Jie Zhu

A stylized feature of high-dimensional data is that many variables have heavy tails, and robust statistical inference is critical for valid large-scale statistical inference. Yet, the existing developments such as Winsorization,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Jianqing Fan , Zhipeng Lou , Mengxin Yu

We establish a local $\mathcal{O}(k^{-2})$ rate for the gradient update $x^{k+1}=x^k-\nabla f(x^k)/\sqrt{H\|\nabla f(x^k)\|}$ under a $2H$-Hessian--Lipschitz assumption. Regime detection relies on Hessian--vector products, avoiding Hessian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Nazarii Tupitsa

We consider the problem of sparsity-constrained $M$-estimation when both explanatory and response variables have heavy tails (bounded 4-th moments), or a fraction of arbitrary corruptions. We focus on the $k$-sparse, high-dimensional regime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Liu Liu , Tianyang Li , Constantine Caramanis

Consider the case that we observe $n$ independent and identically distributed copies of a random variable with a probability distribution known to be an element of a specified statistical model. We are interested in estimating an infinite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Mark J. van der Laan , Aurélien F. Bibaut

We propose an efficient algorithm for the recently published electron/hole-transfer Dynamical-weighted State-averaged Constrained CASSCF (eDSC/hDSC) method studying charge transfer states and D$_1$-D$_0$ crossings for systems with odd…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Tian Qiu , Joseph E. Subotnik

Time Series Classification (TSC) has drawn a lot of attention in literature because of its broad range of applications for different domains, such as medical data mining, weather forecasting. Although TSC algorithms are designed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Syed Rawshon Jamil

Meta-learning has been proposed as a promising machine learning topic in recent years, with important applications to image classification, robotics, computer games, and control systems. In this paper, we study the problem of using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-28 Yunian Pan , Quanyan Zhu

This paper introduces a novel Homogeneous Second-order Descent Ascent (HSDA) algorithm for nonconvex-strongly concave minimax optimization problems. At each iteration, HSDA uniquely computes a search direction by solving a homogenized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Jia-Hao Chen , Zi Xu , Hui-Ling Zhang