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An annealed version of the quenched mean-field model for epidemic spread is introduced and investigated analytically and assisted by numerical calculations. The interaction between individuals follows a prescription that is used to generate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-22 K. M. Kim , M. O. Hase

World models have emerged as a unifying paradigm for learning latent dynamics, simulating counterfactual futures, and supporting planning under uncertainty. In this paper, we argue that computational epidemiology is a natural and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Zeeshan Memon , Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Liang Zhao , Naren Ramakrishnan

Analytical description of propagation phenomena on random networks has flourished in recent years, yet more complex systems have mainly been studied through numerical means. In this paper, a mean-field description is used to coherently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-08 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Pierre-André Noël , Vincent Marceau , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

Understanding the interplay between human behavioral phenomena and infectious disease dynamics has been one of the central challenges of mathematical epidemiology. However, socio-cognitive processes critical for the initiation of desired…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-01 Qingchu Wu , Tarik Hadzibeganovic , Xiao-Pu Han

Mean-field game theory relies on approximating games that are intractable to model due to a very large to infinite population of players. While these kinds of games can be solved analytically via the associated system of partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Anna C. M. Thöni , Yoram Bachrach , Tal Kachman

We consider the spread of infectious diseases through a Mean Field Game version of a SIR compartmental model with social structure, in which individuals are grouped by their age class and interact together in different settings. In our game…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-14 Louis Bremaud , Denis Ullmo

Compartmental models have long served as important tools in mathematical epidemiology, with their usefulness highlighted by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. However, most of the classical models fail to account for certain features of this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Monique Chyba , Taylor Klotz , Yuriy Mileyko , Corey Shanbrom

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

Empirically derived continuum models of collective behavior among large populations of dynamic agents are a subject of intense study in several fields, including biology, engineering and finance. We formulate and study a mean-field game…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-06-22 Piyush Grover , Kaivalya Bakshi , Evangelos A. Theodorou

The spreading dynamics of infectious diseases is influenced by individual behaviours, which are in turn affected by the level of awareness about the epidemic. Modelling the co-evolution of disease transmission and behavioural changes within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-27 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

In this manuscript we present several possible ways of modeling human capital accumulation during the spread of a disease following an agent based approach, where agents behave maximizing their intertemporal utility. We assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-09 Daria Ghilli , Cristiano Ricci , Giovanni Zanco

The recently developed mean-field game models of corruption and bot-net defence in cyber-security, the evolutionary game approach to inspection and corruption, and the pressure-resistance game element, can be combined under an extended…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Stamatios Katsikas , Vassili Kolokoltsov

People's cooperation in adopting protective measures is effective in epidemic control and creates herd immunity as a public good. Similarly, the presence of an epidemic is a driving factor for the formation and improvement of cooperation.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-03 Mehran Noori , Nahid Azimi-Tafreshi , Mohammad Salahshour

In numerous contexts, individuals may decide whether they take actions to mitigate the spread of disease, or not. Mitigating the spread of disease requires an individual to change their routine behaviours to benefit others, resulting in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-11 Julie Rowlett , Carl-Joar Karlsson

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

Epidemic models are invaluable tools to understand and implement strategies to control the spread of infectious diseases, as well as to inform public health policies and resource allocation. However, current modeling approaches have…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

The dynamics of ecological as well as chemical systems may depend on heterogeneous configurations. Heterogeneity in reaction-diffusion systems often increase modelling and simulating difficulties when non-linear effects are present. One…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-27 Orlando Silva

We use the annealed formulation of complex networks to study the dynamical behavior of disease spreading on both static and adaptive networked systems. This unifying approach relies on the annealed adjacency matrix, representing one network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-09 Beniamino Guerra , Jesus Gomez-Gardenes

Real epidemic spreading networks often composed of several kinds of networks interconnected with each other, and the interrelated networks have the different topologies and epidemic dynamics. Moreover, most human diseases are derived from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-21 Zhongpu Xu , Xinchu Fu

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo