Related papers: Online Dynamic Parameter Estimation of an Alkaline…
It is proposed in the literature that in some complicated problems maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) are not suitable or even do not exist. An alternative to MLE for estimation of the parameters is the Bayesian method. The Markov chain…
The paper presents an novel electric triple layer(ETL) model as an improved model of electrical double layer(EDL) to predict electroosmosis flow rate on the electrode surface at low frequency. The predicted slip velocity based on classical…
The paper presents an novel electric triple layer(ETL) model as an improved model of electrical double layer(EDL) to predict electroosmosis flow rate on the electrode surface at low frequency. The predicted slip velocity based on classical…
Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis is a formal approach to coherently synthesizing multiple predictive distributions into a single distribution. In sequential analysis, the computation of the synthesized predictive distribution has…
Accurate electricity price forecasting is critical for strategic decision-making in deregulated electricity markets, where volatility stems from complex supply-demand dynamics and external factors. Traditional point forecasts often fail to…
This study presents a dynamic modeling approach for precipitation in electrolyte systems, focusing on the crystallization of an aromatic amine through continuous processes. A novel model, integrating equilibrium and crystallization…
The potential energy landscape (PEL) formalism is a tool within statistical mechanics that has been used in the past to calculate the equation of states (EOS) of classical rigid model liquids at low temperatures, where computer simulations…
Geophysical methods provide a cost-effective way to characterize the subsurface for hydrogeological projects, but they rely on solving an inverse problem. Traditionally, deterministic approaches are used, which face challenges due to…
Inference for locally stationary processes is often based on some local Whittle-type approximation of the likelihood function defined in the frequency domain. The main reasons for using such a likelihood approximation is that i) it has…
Active learning has been studied extensively as a method for efficient data collection. Among the many approaches in literature, Expected Error Reduction (EER) (Roy and McCallum) has been shown to be an effective method for active learning:…
The ability to predict the behavior of a wireless channel in terms of the frame delivery ratio is quite valuable, and permits, e.g., to optimize the operating parameters of a wireless network at runtime, or to proactively react to the…
This paper presents a novel centralized, variational data assimilation approach for calibrating transient dynamic models in electrical power systems, focusing on load model parameters. With the increasing importance of inverter-based…
Background: Analyses of elastic scattering with the optical model (OMP) are widely used in nuclear reactions. Purpose: Previous work compared a traditional frequentist approach and a Bayesian approach to quantify uncertainties in the OMP.…
A generic algorithm for the extraction of probabilistic (Bayesian) information about model parameters from data is presented. The algorithm propagates an ensemble of particles in the product space of model parameters and outputs. Each…
In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to…
Flexible regression methods where interest centres on the way that the whole distribution of a response vector changes with covariates are very useful in some applications. A recently developed technique in this regard uses the…
Hybrid systems whose mode dynamics are governed by non-linear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are often a natural model for biological processes. However such models are difficult to analyze. To address this, we develop a…
The increasing uncertainty in modern power systems, driven by the integration of intermittent energy sources and variable loads, underscores the need for probabilistic transient stability assessment. However, existing assessment methods…
Green hydrogen plays an essential role in decarbonization, with capacity projected to scale to 560 GW by 2030 (vs. 1.39 GW in 2023) in net-zero settings. Proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysis is one of the most promising technology…
Accelerating the design of materials with targeted properties is one of the key materials informatics tasks. The most common approach takes a data-driven motivation, where the underlying knowledge is incorporated in the form of…