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This paper presents a new and flexible prognostics framework based on a higher order hidden semi-Markov model (HOHSMM) for systems or components with unobservable health states and complex transition dynamics. The HOHSMM extends the basic…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-14 Ying Liao , Yisha Xiang , Min Wang

We show that the sensor self-localization problem can be cast as a static parameter estimation problem for Hidden Markov Models and we implement fully decentralized versions of the Recursive Maximum Likelihood and on-line…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Nikolas Kantas , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Arnaud Doucet

We derive a robust update rule for the online infinite hidden Markov model (iHMM) for when the streaming data contains outliers and the model is misspecified. Leveraging recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference, we define…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Horace Yiu , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt , Álvaro Cartea , Gerardo Duran-Martin

Data-target pairing is an important step towards multi-target localization for the intelligent operation of unmanned systems. Target localization plays a crucial role in numerous applications, such as search, and rescue missions, traffic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Kasthurirengan Suresh , Samuel Silva , Johnathan Votion , Yongcan Cao

Hidden Markov model (HMM) has been successfully used for sequential data modeling problems. In this work, we propose to power the modeling capacity of HMM by bringing in neural network based generative models. The proposed model is termed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Dong Liu , Antoine Honoré , Saikat Chatterjee , Lars K. Rasmussen

We design an agent to search for frames of interest in video stored on a remote server, under bandwidth constraints. Using a convolutional neural network to score individual frames and a hidden Markov model to propagate predictions across…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-03 Bhairav Chidambaram , Mason McGill , Pietro Perona

We describe a novel approach to statistical learning from particles tracked while moving in a random environment. The problem consists in inferring properties of the environment from recorded snapshots. We consider here the case of a fluid…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-06-09 Michael Chertkov , Lukas Kroc , Massimo Vergassola

This paper proposes a new framework for providing approximation guarantees of local search algorithms. Local search is a basic algorithm design technique and is widely used for various combinatorial optimization problems. To analyze local…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Kaito Fujii

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a classic modeling tool with a wide swath of applications. Its inception considered observations restricted to a finite alphabet, but it was quickly extended to multivariate continuous distributions. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-30 Adam B Kashlak , Prachi Loliencar , Giseon Heo

Hidden Markov models have successfully been applied as models of discrete time series in many fields. Often, when applied in practice, the parameters of these models have to be estimated. The currently predominating identification methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-24 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

Consider the problem of predicting the next symbol given a sample path of length n, whose joint distribution belongs to a distribution class that may have long-term memory. The goal is to compete with the conditional predictor that knows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Yanjun Han , Tianze Jiang , Yihong Wu

This thesis presents recent advances in model order reduction methods with the primary aim to construct online-efficient reduced surrogate models for parameterized multiscale phenomena and accelerate large-scale PDE-constrained parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-18 Tim Keil

This paper describes a general framework called Hybrid Dynamic Mixed Networks (HDMNs) which are Hybrid Dynamic Bayesian Networks that allow representation of discrete deterministic information in the form of constraints. We propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Vibhav Gogate , Rina Dechter , Bozhena Bidyuk , Craig Rindt , James Marca

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-04 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

Autonomous Vehicles navigating in urban areas have a need to understand and predict future pedestrian behavior for safer navigation. This high level of situational awareness requires observing pedestrian behavior and extrapolating their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-18 Pavan Vasishta , Dominique Vaufreydaz , Anne Spalanzani

Digital platforms enable the observation of learning behaviors through fine-grained log traces, offering more detailed clues for analysis. In addition to previous descriptive and predictive log analysis, this study aims to simultaneously…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-02 Chen Qiao , Xiao Hu

We propose a new randomized optimization method for high-dimensional problems which can be seen as a generalization of coordinate descent to random subspaces. We show that an adaptive sampling strategy for the random subspace significantly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Jonathan Lacotte , Mert Pilanci , Marco Pavone

This paper is concerned with the computational complexity of learning the Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Although HMMs are some of the most widely used tools in sequential and time series modeling, they are cryptographically hard to learn in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Sham M. Kakade , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Gaurav Mahajan , Cyril Zhang

We propose a novel algorithm for compressive imaging that exploits both the sparsity and persistence across scales found in the 2D wavelet transform coefficients of natural images. Like other recent works, we model wavelet structure using a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-05-30 Subhojit Som , Philip Schniter

Statistical analysis of network data has attracted considerable attention in recent years, due to the rapid advancement of well-trained network models and the accessibility of large public network datasets. In this article, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Yong He , Kangxiang Qin , Haoran Tang
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