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Consider a random walk whose (light-tailed) increments have positive mean. Lower and upper bounds are provided for the expected maximal value of the random walk until it experiences a given drawdown d. These bounds, related to the Calmar…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-23 Isaac Meilijson

We address a class of Markov jump linear systems that are characterized by the underlying Markov process being time-inhomogeneous with a priori unknown transition probabilities. Necessary and sufficient conditions for uniform stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Collin C. Lutz , Daniel J. Stilwell

We give a collection of explicit sufficient conditions for the true martingale property of a wide class of exponentials of semimartingales. We express the conditions in terms of semimartingale characteristics. This turns out to be very…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 David Criens , Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac

A stochastic model for pure-jump diffusion (the compound renewal process) can be used as a zero-order approximation and as a phenomenological description of tick-by-tick price fluctuations. This leads to an exact and explicit general…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-21 Enrico Scalas , Mauro Politi

We establish a link between the distribution of an exponential functional I and the undershoots of a subordinator, which is given in terms of the associated harmonic potential measure. This allows us to give a necessary and sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Larbi Alili , Wissem Jedidi , Víctor Rivero

We address a class of backward stochastic differential equations on a bounded interval, where the driving noise is a marked, or multivariate, point process. Assuming that the jump times are totally inaccessible and a technical condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman , Jean Jacod

In a Monte-Carlo test, the observed dataset is fixed, and several resampled or permuted versions of the dataset are generated in order to test a null hypothesis that the original dataset is exchangeable with the resampled/permuted ones.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas

The infimum of an integrated current is its extreme value against the direction of its average flow. Using martingale theory, we show that the infima of integrated edge currents in time-homogeneous Markov jump processes are geometrically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-24 Izaak Neri , Matteo Polettini

We present a simulation methodology for Bayesian estimation of rate parameters in Markov jump processes arising for example in stochastic kinetic models. To handle the problem of missing components and measurement errors in observed data,…

Computation · Statistics 2010-09-01 Michael Amrein , Hans R. Kuensch

We give a necessary and sufficient condition on a sequence of functions on a set $\Omega$ under which there is a measure on $\Omega$ which renders the given sequence of functions a martingale. Further such a measure is unique if we impose a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rajeeva L Karandikar , M G Nadkarni

In this paper, we, for the first time, establish two comparison theorems for multi-dimensional backward stochastic differential equations with jumps. Our approach is novel and completely different from the existing results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Ying Hu , Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of Markov jump processes in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is investigated. Relying on an abstract integration by parts formula for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process recently obtained by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Giovanni Conforti , Christian Léonard

With some regularity conditions maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) always produce asymptotically optimal (in the sense of consistency, efficiency, sufficiency, and unbiasedness) estimators. But in general, the MLEs lead to non-robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

We consider a class of stochastic processes $X$ defined by $X\left( t\right) =\int_{0}^{T}G\left( t,s\right) dM\left( s\right) $ for $t\in\lbrack0,T]$, where $M$ is a square-integrable continuous martingale and $G$ is a deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Francesco Russo , Frederi Viens

We study stochastic partial differential equations of the reaction-diffusion type. We show that, even if the forcing is very degenerate (i.e. has not full rank), one has exponential convergence towards the invariant measure. The convergence…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Martin Hairer

This paper gives a complete characterization of infinitely divisible semimartingales, i.e., semimartingales whose finite dimensional distributions are infinitely divisible. An explicit and essentially unique decomposition of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Jan Rosinski

In this paper, we consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), with known flow and deterministic transition measure, and unknown jump rate $\lambda$. To estimate nonparametrically the jump rate, we first construct an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Nathalie Krell , Emeline Schmisser

We provide some upper bounds for the Mertens function ($M(n)$: the cumulative sum of the M$\ddot{\mathrm{o}}$bius function) by an approach of statistical mechanics, in which the M$\ddot{\mathrm{o}}$bius function is taken as a particular…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Rong Qiang Wei

A well-known It\^o formula for finite dimensional processes, given in terms of stochastic integrals with respect to Wiener processes and Poisson random measures, is revisited and is revised. The revised formula, which corresponds to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 István Gyöngy , Sizhou Wu

Lions and Musiela (2007) give sufficient conditions to verify when a stochastic exponential of a continuous local martingale is a martingale or a uniformly integrable martingale. Blei and Engelbert (2009) and Mijatovi\'c and Urusov (2012c)…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Carole Bernard , Zhenyu Cui , Don McLeish