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We provide a composite version of Ville's theorem that an event has zero measure if and only if there exists a nonnegative martingale which explodes to infinity when that event occurs. This is a classic result connecting measure-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter M. Koolen , Aaditya Ramdas

Let ${\psi}:\mathbb{R}^{+}\rightarrow\mathbb{R}^{+}$ be a smooth and continuous real function and $\psi\in\mathrm{L}^{2}(\mathbb{R}^{+})$. Let ${B}(t)$ be a standard Brownian motion defined with respect to a probability space…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Steven D Miller

This paper deals with countable products of countable Borel equivalence relations and equivalence relations "just above" those in the Borel reducibility hierarchy. We show that if $E$ is strongly ergodic with respect to $\mu$ then…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Assaf Shani

In a Markovian stochastic volatility model, we consider financial agents whose investment criteria are modelled by forward exponential performance processes. The problem of contingent claim indifference valuation is first addressed and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-26 Michail Anthropelos

This paper introduces the exponential substitution calculus (ESC), a new presentation of cut elimination for IMELL, based on proof terms and building on the idea that exponentials can be seen as explicit substitutions. The idea in itself is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Beniamino Accattoli

A piecewise constant local martingale $M$ with boundedly many jumps is a uniformly integrable martingale if and only if $M_\infty^-$ is integrable.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 Johannes Ruf

The jump behavior of an infinitely active It\^o semimartingale can be conveniently characterized by a jump activity index of Blumenthal-Getoor type, typically assumed to be constant in time. We study Markovian semimartingales with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Fabian Mies

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We consider Markov processes in continuous time with state space $\posint^N$ and provide two sufficient conditions and one necessary condition for the existence of moments $E(\|X(t)\|^r)$ of all orders $r \in \nat$ for all $t \geq 0$. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Muruhan Rathinam

We determine the minimal entropy martingale measure for a general class of stochastic volatility models where both price process and volatility process contain jump terms which are correlated. This generalizes previous studies which have…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Thorsten Rheinländer , Gallus Steiger

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in probability theory. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for upward skip-free Markov chains, which include the $L^p$ maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Chen Jia

In this paper, we study a class of Quadratic Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (QBSDE in short) with jumps and unbounded terminal condition. We extend the class of quadratic semimartingales introduced by Barrieu and El Karoui…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Nicole El Karoui , Anis Matoussi , Armand Ngoupeyou

The continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is a pure-jump stochastic process with several applications in physics, but also in insurance, finance and economics. A definition is given for a class of stochastic integrals driven by a CTRW, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-19 Guido Germano , Mauro Politi , Enrico Scalas , René L. Schilling

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are central in computational statistics, and typically rely on detailed balance to ensure invariance with respect to a target distribution. Although straightforward to construct by Metropolization, this can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Erik Jansson , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer , Akash Sharma

In applications the properties of a stochastic feature often change gradually rather than abruptly, that is: after a constant phase for some time they slowly start to vary. In this paper we discuss statistical inference for the detection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

Juggler's exclusion process describes a system of particles on the positive integers where particles drift down to zero at unit speed. After a particle hits zero, it jumps into a randomly chosen unoccupied site. We model the system as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-02 Lasse Leskelä , Harri Varpanen

This paper aims to develop the stability theory for singular stochastic Markov jump systems with state-dependent noise, including both continuous- and discrete-time cases. The sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-04 Yong Zhao , Weihai Zhang

We consider zero-range processes in ${\mathbb{Z}}^d$ with site dependent jump rates. The rate for a particle jump from site $x$ to $y$ in ${\mathbb{Z}}^d$ is given by $\lambda_xg(k)p(y-x)$, where $p(\cdot)$ is a probability in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-12 Pablo A. Ferrari , Valentin V. Sisko

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

A complete characterization of the possible joint distributions of the maximum and terminal value of uniformly integrable martingale has been known for some time, and the aim of this paper is to establish a similar characterization for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Moritz Duembgen , L. C. G. Rogers
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