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Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible, probabilistic, nonparametric models widely used in fields such as spatial statistics and machine learning. A drawback of Gaussian processes is their computational cost, with $O(N^3)$ time and $O(N^2)$…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-20 Filippo Rambelli , Fabio Sigrist

This paper provides an algorithm for simulating improper (or noncircular) complex-valued stationary Gaussian processes. The technique utilizes recently developed methods for multivariate Gaussian processes from the circulant embedding…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Donald B. Percival

We study the peak height distribution of certain non-stationary Gaussian random fields. The explicit peak height distribution of smooth, non-stationary Gaussian processes in 1D with general covariance is derived. The formula is determined…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Yu Zhao , Dan Cheng , Samuel Davenport , Armin Schwartzman

Second-order characteristics including covariance and spectral density functions are fundamentally important for both statistical applications and theoretical analysis in functional time series. In the high-dimensional setting where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Bufan Li , Xinghao Qiao , Weichi Wu , Holger Dette

We consider the discrete three dimensional scan statistics. Viewed as the maximum of an 1-dependent stationary r.v.'s sequence, we provide approximations and error bounds for the probability distribution of the three dimensional scan…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-18 Alexandru Amarioarei , Cristian Preda

Gaussian processes constitute a very powerful and well-understood method for non-parametric regression and classification. In the classical framework, the training data consists of deterministic vector-valued inputs and the corresponding…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Maxim Dolgov , Uwe D. Hanebeck

We introduce a high-dimensional multiplier bootstrap for time series data based on capturing dependence through a sparsely estimated vector autoregressive model. We prove its consistency for inference on high-dimensional means under two…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-14 Robert Adamek , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

This paper analyzes general spatially-coupled (SC) systems with multi-dimensional coupling. A continuum approximation is used to derive potential functions that characterize the performance of the SC systems. For any dimension of coupling,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-19 Keigo Takeuchi , Toshiyuki Tanaka , Kenta Kasai

Surrogate models have become ubiquitous in science and engineering for their capability of emulating expensive computer codes, necessary to model and investigate complex phenomena. Bayesian emulators based on Gaussian processes adequately…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-02 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

Non-stationary source separation is a well-established branch of blind source separation with many different methods. However, for none of these methods large-sample results are available. To bridge this gap, we develop large-sample theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 François Bachoc , Christoph Muehlmann , Klaus Nordhausen , Joni Virta

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

Within the Correlated Gaussian Method the parameters of the Gaussian basis functions are often chosen stochastically using pseudo-random sequences. We show that alternative low-discrepancy sequences, also known as quasi-random sequences,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-14 D. V. Fedorov

The growing field of large-scale time domain astronomy requires methods for probabilistic data analysis that are computationally tractable, even with large datasets. Gaussian Processes are a popular class of models used for this purpose…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Eric Agol , Sivaram Ambikasaran , Ruth Angus

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

In a recent paper the author obtained optimal bounds for the strong Gaussian approximation of sums of independent $\R^d$-valued random vectors with finite exponential moments. The results may be considered as generalizations of well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Yu. Zaitsev

We investigate the problem of jointly testing two hypotheses and estimating a random parameter based on data that is observed sequentially by sensors in a distributed network. In particular, we assume the data to be drawn from a Gaussian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-04 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

Motivated by a large ground-level ozone dataset, we propose a new computationally efficient additive approximate Gaussian process. The proposed method incorporates a computational-complexity-reduction method and a separable covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-10 Pulong Ma , Bledar A. Konomi , Emily L. Kang

In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

We propose an informal test for stationarity in a time series which checks for the compatibility of nonlinear approximations to the dynamics made in different segments of the sequence. The segments are compared directly, rather than via…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber
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