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Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is one of the most commonly used approaches in finance for measuring the downside risk of investment portfolios, especially during financial crises. In this paper, we propose a novel approach based on EVT called…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-16 Hamidreza Arian , Hossein Poorvasei , Azin Sharifi , Shiva Zamani

Let $F$ be a finite model of cardinality $M$ and denote by $\operatorname {conv}(F)$ its convex hull. The problem of convex aggregation is to construct a procedure having a risk as close as possible to the minimal risk over $\operatorname…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Guillaume Lecué

Factor analysis is a classical data reduction technique that seeks a potentially lower number of unobserved variables that can account for the correlations among the observed variables. This paper presents an extension of the factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-04 Tsung-I Lin , Pal H. Wu , Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Sharon X. Lee

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

The main result of this article is that we obtain an elementwise error bound for the Fused Lasso estimator for any general convex loss function $\rho$. We then focus on the special cases when either $\rho$ is the square loss function (for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-21 Teng Zhang , Sabyasachi Chatterjee

The joint Value at Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) quantile regression model of Taylor (2017) is extended via incorporating a realized measure, to drive the tail risk dynamics, as a potentially more efficient driver than daily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-23 Richard Gerlach , Chao Wang

Maximum drawdown, the largest cumulative loss from peak to trough, is one of the most widely used indicators of risk in the fund management industry, but one of the least developed in the context of measures of risk. We formalize drawdown…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-22 Lisa R. Goldberg , Ola Mahmoud

In this paper, a long-term survival model under competing risks is considered. The unobserved number of competing risks is assumed to follow a negative binomial distribution that can capture both over- and under-dispersion. Considering the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-22 Suvra Pal

Extremum Seeking Control (ESC) is a well-known set of continuous time algorithms for model-free optimization of a cost function. One issue for ESCs is the convergence rates of parameters to extrema of unknown cost functions. The local…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Patrick McNamee , Zahra Nili Ahmadabadi

Inverse optimization involves inferring unknown parameters of an optimization problem from known solutions and is widely used in fields such as transportation, power systems, and healthcare. We study the contextual inverse optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Saurabh Mishra , Anant Raj , Sharan Vaswani

Most inverse optimization models impute unspecified parameters of an objective function to make an observed solution optimal for a given optimization problem with a fixed feasible set. We propose two approaches to impute unspecified…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Neal Kaw

We propose a prox-regular-type low-rank constrained nonconvex nonsmooth optimization model for Robust Low-Rank Matrix Recovery (RLRMR), i.e., estimate problem of low-rank matrix from an observed signal corrupted by outliers. For RLRMR, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Keita Kume , Isao Yamada

The $\ell_0$-constrained mean-CVaR model poses a significant challenge due to its NP-hard nature, typically tackled through combinatorial methods characterized by high computational demands. From a markedly different perspective, we propose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Yizun Lin , Yangyu Zhang , Zhao-Rong Lai , Cheng Li

Under Solvency II, the Value-at-Risk (VaR) is applied, although there is broad consensus that the Expected Shortfall (ES) constitutes a more appropriate risk measure. Moving towards ES would necessitate specifying the corresponding ES…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Christian Laudagé , Jörn Sass

The paper discusses capital allocation using the Euler formula and focuses on the risk measures Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected shortfall (ES). Some new results connected to this capital allocation is known. Two examples illustrate that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-02 Lars Holden

The Expectation--Maximization (EM) algorithm is a simple meta-algorithm that has been used for many years as a methodology for statistical inference when there are missing measurements in the observed data or when the data is composed of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-15 Hideitsu Hino , Shotaro Akaho , Noboru Murata

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a classical approach for stochastic convex optimization. Previous studies have demonstrated that the convergence rate of SA can be improved by introducing either smoothness or strong convexity condition. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

The Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolutionary Strategy (CMA-ES) is one of the most advanced algorithms in numerical black-box optimization. For noisy objective functions, several approaches were proposed to mitigate the noise, e.g.,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Catalin-Viorel Dinu , Yash J. Patel , Xavier Bonet-Monroig , Hao Wang

This paper explores option portfolio optimization when the underlying returns are skew-elliptical t-distributed. We use the variance and value at risk (VaR) to measure portfolio risk. The novelty of our work is the departure from the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Kyle Sung , Traian A. Pirvu

Nonconvex optimization is central to modern machine learning, but the general framework of nonconvex optimization yields weak convergence guarantees that are too pessimistic compared to practice. On the other hand, while convexity enables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Artem Riabinin , Ahmed Khaled , Peter Richtárik