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Capacity expansion models used for policy support have increasingly represented both the variability and uncertainty of weather-dependent generation (wind and solar). However, although also uncertain, as demonstrated by the performance of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Kamran Forghani , Xiaoming Kan , Lina Reichenberg , Fredrik Hedenus

In this paper we propose a framework for automated forecasting of energy-related time series using open access data from European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E). The framework provides forecasts for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-17 Gergo Barta , Gabor Nagy , Gabor Simon , Gyozo Papp

Electrical outages continue to occur despite technological innovations and improvements to electric power distribution infrastructure. In this paper, we describe a tool that was designed to acquire and collect data on electric power outages…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Samuel Eckstrom , Graham Murphy , Eileen Ye , Samrat Acharya , Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

Empirical research with electricity transmission networks reliability data shows that the size of major failures - in terms of energy not supplied (ENS), total loss of power (TLP) or restoration time (RT) - appear to follow a power law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-29 Faustino Prieto , José María Sarabia , Antonio José Sáez

We analyze the time series of the power loads of the 35 separated countries publicly sharing hourly data through ENTSO-E platform for more than 5 years. We apply the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis for the demonstration of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-05 Hynek Lavicka , Jiri Kracik

Traditionally, power system's inertia has been estimated according to the rotating masses directly connected to the grid. However, a new generation mix scenario is currently identified, where conventional supply-side is gradually replaced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-04 Ana Fernández-Guillamón , Emilio Gómez-Lázaro , Angel Molina-García

Power grid outages cause huge economical and societal costs. Disruptions in the power distribution grid are responsible for a significant fraction of electric power unavailability to customers. The impact of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Yakup Koc , Abhishek Raman , Martijn Warnier , Tarun Kumar

Shift of the power system generation from the fossil to the variable renewable sources prompted the system operators to search for new sources of flexibility, that is, new reserve providers. With the introduction of electric vehicles, smart…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-22 Ivan Pavić , Hrvoje Pandžić , Tomislav Capuder

Energy forecasting is vital for grid reliability and operational efficiency. Although recent advances in time series forecasting have led to progress, existing benchmarks remain limited in spatial and temporal scope and lack multi-energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Chen Shao , Yue Wang , Zhenyi Zhu , Zhanbo Huang , Sebastian Pütz , Benjamin Schäfer , Tobais Käfer , Michael Färber

There is substantial research interest in how future fleets of battery-electric vehicles will interact with the power sector. To this end, various types of energy models depend on meaningful input parameters, in particular time series of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-14 Carlos Gaete-Morales , Hendrik Kramer , Wolf-Peter Schill , Alexander Zerrahn

The uncertainty in distribution grid planning is driven by the unpredictable spatial and temporal patterns in adopting electric vehicles (EVs) and solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This complexity, stemming from interactions among EVs, PV…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-20 Shiva Poudel , Poorva Sharma , Abhineet Parchure , Daniel Olsen , Sayantan Bhowmik , Tonya Martin , Dylan Locsin , Andrew P. Reiman

We use simulation to compare different power flow models in the process of charging electric vehicles (EVs) by considering their random arrivals, their stochastic demand for energy at charging stations, and the characteristics of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-08 M. H. M. Christianen , M. Vlasiou , B. Zwart

Unprecedented winter storms that hit across Texas in February 2021 have caused at least 69 deaths and 4.5 million customer interruptions due to the wide-ranging generation capacity outage and record-breaking electricity demand. While much…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-19 Dongqi Wu , Xiangtian Zheng , Yixing Xu , Daniel Olsen , Bainan Xia , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

Expansion planning problems refer to the monetary and unit investment needed for energy production or storage. An inherent element in these problems is the element of stochasticity in various aspects, such as the generation output of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-27 S. Tsianikas , N. Yousefi , J. Zhou , D. W. Coit

The power grid is going through significant changes with the introduction of renewable energy sources and incorporation of smart grid technologies. These rapid advancements necessitate new models and analyses to keep up with the various…

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

We introduce a new microscopic model of the outages in transmission power grids. This model accounts for the automatic response of the grid to load fluctuations that take place on the scale of minutes, when the optimum power flow…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 René Pfitzner , Konstantin Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov

Simulating potential cascading failures can be useful for avoiding or mitigating such events. Currently, existing steady-state analysis tools are ill-suited for simulating cascading outages as they do not model frequency dependencies, they…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-25 Amritanshu Pandey , Aayushya Agarwal , Marko Jereminov , Martin R. Wagner , David M. Bromberg , Larry Pileggi

With the ongoing energy transition, power grids are evolving fast. They operate more and more often close to their technical limit, under more and more volatile conditions. Fast, essentially real-time computational approaches to evaluate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-30 Marc Gillioz , Guillaume Dubuis , Philippe Jacquod

The residual load and excess power generation of 27 European countries with a 100% penetration of variable renewable energy sources are explored in order to quantify the benefit of power transmission between countries. Estimates are based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-13 Rolando A. Rodriguez , Sarah Becker , Gorm B. Andresen , Dominik Heide , Martin Greiner
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