Related papers: Gaussian discriminators between $\Lambda$CDM and w…
We investigate cosmological parameter inference and model selection from a Bayesian perspective. Type Ia supernova data from the Dark Energy Survey (DES-SN5YR) are used to test the $\Lambda$CDM, $w$CDM, and CPL cosmological models.…
We present the Gaussian process density sampler (GPDS), an exchangeable generative model for use in nonparametric Bayesian density estimation. Samples drawn from the GPDS are consistent with exact, independent samples from a distribution…
Measurement of the universe expansion rate through the cosmic chronometers proves to be a novel approach to understanding cosmic history. Although it provides a direct determination of the Hubble parameters at different redshifts, it…
We model the expansion history of the Universe as a Gaussian Process and find constraints on the dark energy density and its low-redshift evolution using distances inferred from the Luminous Red Galaxy (LRG) and Lyman-alpha (Ly$\alpha$)…
We use Bayesian model selection techniques to test extensions of the standard flat LambdaCDM paradigm. Dark-energy and curvature scenarios, and primordial perturbation models are considered. To that end, we calculate the Bayesian evidence…
Computer models are widely used in science and engineering to simulate complex systems. However, these models are affected by several sources of uncertainty, which may limit their use for decision making in risk management. We present a…
In the $\Lambda$CDM model, cosmological observations from the late and recent universe reveal a puzzling $\sim 4.5\sigma$ tension in the current rate of universe expansion. In addition to the various scenarios suggested to resolve the…
We examine the Pantheon supernovae distance data compilation in a model independent analysis to test the validity of cosmic history reconstructions beyond the concordance $\Lambda$CDM cosmology. Strong deviations are allowed by the data at…
Generalized linear models (GLMs) using a regression procedure to fit relationships between predictor and target variables are widely used in automobile insurance data. Here, in the process of ratemaking and in order to compute the premiums…
We employ Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) as a powerful statistical framework to address key cosmological questions about the universe's fundamental properties. We explore extensions beyond the standard $\Lambda$CDM model, considering a…
The assumption of Gaussian or Gaussian mixture data has been extensively exploited in a long series of precise performance analyses of machine learning (ML) methods, on large datasets having comparably numerous samples and features. To…
In the current work, we have implemented an extension of the standard Gaussian Process formalism, namely the Multi-Task Gaussian Process with the ability to perform a joint learning of several cosmological data simultaneously. We have…
Discrete data are abundant and often arise as counts or rounded data. These data commonly exhibit complex distributional features such as zero-inflation, over-/under-dispersion, boundedness, and heaping, which render many parametric models…
Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…
A detection of the level of non-Gaussianity in the CMB data is essential to discriminate among inflationary models and also to test alternative primordial scenarios. However, the extraction of primordial non-Gaussianity is a difficult…
I present here a generalization of the maximum likelihood method and the $\chi^2$ method to the cases in which the data are {\it not} assumed to be Gaussian distributed. The method, based on the multivariate Edgeworth expansion, can find…
The purpose of this paper is to provide a discussion, with illustrating examples, on Bayesian forecasting for dynamic generalized linear models (DGLMs). Adopting approximate Bayesian analysis, based on conjugate forms and on Bayes linear…
We study the running vacuum model in which the vaccum energy density depends on square of Hubble parameter in comparison with the $\Lambda$CDM model. In this work, the Bayesian inference method is employed to test against the standard…
Marginal likelihoods for the cosmic expansion rates are evaluated using the `Constitution' data of 397 supernovas, thereby updating the results in some previous works. Even when beginning with a very strong prior probability that favors an…
We assess dataset agreement and late-time predictive adequacy in $\Lambda$CDM and its sign-switching extension, $\Lambda_{\rm s}$CDM, using a suite of Gaussian and exact non-Gaussian consistency diagnostics. Both models are constrained with…