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The theory of slow manifolds is an important tool in the study of deterministic dynamical systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of relevant degrees of freedom in a model, thereby often resulting in a considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-01 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane , Tim Rogers

Many natural systems, such as neurons firing in the brain or basketball teams traversing a court, give rise to time series data with complex, nonlinear dynamics. We can gain insight into these systems by decomposing the data into segments…

There has been much recent progress in forecasting the next observation of a linear dynamical system (LDS), which is known as the improper learning, as well as in the estimation of its system matrices, which is known as the proper learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Quan Zhou , Jakub Marecek

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

We propose a new procedure to monitor and forecast the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems. We describe our procedure by an application to the Tangled Nature model of evolutionary ecology. The quasi-stable…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-12-31 Andrea Cairoli , Duccio Piovani , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Neural population activity exhibits complex, nonlinear dynamics, varying in time, over trials, and across experimental conditions. Here, we develop Conditionally Linear Dynamical System (CLDS) models as a general-purpose method to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-31 Victor Geadah , Amin Nejatbakhsh , David Lipshutz , Jonathan W. Pillow , Alex H. Williams

Transformer LMs show emergent reasoning that resists mechanistic understanding. We offer a statistical physics framework for continuous-time chain-of-thought reasoning dynamics. We model sentence-level hidden state trajectories as a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Jack David Carson , Amir Reisizadeh

Dynamical systems theory has long provided a foundation for understanding evolving phenomena across scientific domains. Yet, the application of this theory to complex real-world systems remains challenging due to issues in mathematical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Samuel A. Moore , Brian P. Mann , Boyuan Chen

We analyst in detail a new approach to the monitoring and forecasting of the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems (see Phys. Rev. Lett . vol. 113, 264102 (2014)) by application to the Tangled Nature Model of evolutionary…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-08-03 Duccio Piovani , Jelena Grujic , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

One calls attention to the fact that the stochastic physical systems are not random completely. They have both random and regular components of their evolution. Dynamic system is considered to be a special case of physical system with…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuri A. Rylov

Boolean automata networks, genetic regulation networks, and metabolic networks are just a few examples of biological modelling by discrete dynamical systems (DDS). A major issue in modelling is the verification of the model against the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Alberto Dennunzio , Enrico Formenti , Luciano Margara , Valentin Montmirail , Sara Riva

The problem of determining the mathematical model of the dynamics of multi-dimensional control systems in the presence of noise under the condition that the correlation functions cannot be found. Known statistical dynamics of linear systems…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2013-01-29 V. N. Tibabishev

Learning a stable Linear Dynamical System (LDS) from data involves creating models that both minimize reconstruction error and enforce stability of the learned representation. We propose a novel algorithm for learning stable LDSs. Using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Giorgos Mamakoukas , Orest Xherija , T. D. Murphey

This paper introduces a linear state-space model with time-varying dynamics. The time dependency is obtained by forming the state dynamics matrix as a time-varying linear combination of a set of matrices. The time dependency of the weights…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-06 Jaakko Luttinen , Tapani Raiko , Alexander Ilin

This paper deals with the problem of covariance stabilization for a class of linear stochastic discrete-time systems in the Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC) framework. The considered systems are affected by independent and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Kaouther Moussa , Dimitri Peaucelle

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

The control properties of discrete-time switched linear systems (SLS) with switching signals generated by logical dynamic systems are studied using the semi-tensor product (STP) approach. With the algebraic state space representation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-08 Xiao Zhang , Min Meng , Zhengping Ji

Learning interpretable representations of neural dynamics at a population level is a crucial first step to understanding how observed neural activity relates to perception and behavior. Models of neural dynamics often focus on either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-13 Noga Mudrik , Yenho Chen , Eva Yezerets , Christopher J. Rozell , Adam S. Charles

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

We study the problem of modeling a non-linear dynamical system when given a time series by deriving equations directly from the data. Despite the fact that time series data are given as input, models for dynamics and estimation algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai
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