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We study random walks on $\mathrm{GL}_d(\mathbb{R})$ whose proximal dimension $r$ is larger than $1$ and whose limit set in the Grassmannian $\mathrm{Gr}_{r,d}(\mathbb{R})$ is not contained any Schubert variety. These random walks, without…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Weikun He

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn

The need for regression models to predict circular values arises in many scientific fields. In this work we explore a family of expressive and interpretable distributions over circle-valued random functions related to Gaussian processes…

The aim of this paper is to establish the uniform convergence of the densities of a sequence of random variables, which are functionals of an underlying Gaussian process, to a normal density. Precise estimates for the uniform distance are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-30 Yaozhong Hu , Fei Lu , David Nualart

From the sampling of data to the initialisation of parameters, randomness is ubiquitous in modern Machine Learning practice. Understanding the statistical fluctuations engendered by the different sources of randomness in prediction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Bruno Loureiro , Cédric Gerbelot , Maria Refinetti , Gabriele Sicuro , Florent Krzakala

We prove that the Beta random walk has second order cubic fluctuations from the large deviation principle of the GUE Tracy-Widom type for arbitrary values $\upalpha>0$ and $\upbeta>0$ of the parameters of the Beta distribution, removing…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Giancarlos Oviedo , Gonzalo Panizo , Alejandro F. Ramírez

Gaussian couplings of partial sum processes are derived for the high-dimensional regime $d=o(n^{1/3})$. The coupling is derived for sums of independent random vectors and subsequently extended to nonstationary time series. Our inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

We show that a tessellation generated by a small number of random affine hyperplanes can be used to approximate Euclidean distances between any two points in an arbitrary bounded set $T$, where the random hyperplanes are generated by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-14 Sjoerd Dirksen , Shahar Mendelson

Many modern applications of Bayesian inference, such as in cosmology, are based on complicated forward models with high-dimensional parameter spaces. This considerably limits the sampling of posterior distributions conditioned on observed…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-17 Marco Raveri , Cyrille Doux , Shivam Pandey

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner

Suppose that the vertices of the Euclidean lattice Z^d are endowed with a random scenery, obtained by tossing a fair coin at each vertex. A random walker, starting from the origin, replaces the coins along its path by i.i.d. biased coins.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Noam Berger , Yuval Peres

Consider a linear elliptic partial differential equation in divergence form with a random coefficient field. The solution operator displays fluctuations around its expectation. The recently developed pathwise theory of fluctuations in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Mitia Duerinckx , Julian Fischer , Antoine Gloria

We consider the equilibrium surface of the Random Average Process started from an inclined plane, as seen from the height of the origin, obtained in [Ferrari & Fontes, 1998], where its fluctuations were shown to be of order of the square…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Luiz Renato Fontes , Mariela Pentón Machado , Leonel Zuaznábar

We consider the thick points of random walk, i.e. points where the local time is a fraction of the maximum. In two dimensions, we answer a question of Dembo, Peres, Rosen and Zeitouni and compute the number of thick points of planar random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Antoine Jego

Let $X_1,\dots, X_n,\dots$ be i.i.d.\ $d$-dimensional random vectors with common distribution $F$. Then $S_n = X_1+\dots+X_n$ has distribution $F^n$ (degree is understood in the sense of convolution). Let $$ \rho_{\mathcal{C}_d}(F,G) =…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

We derive a local limit theorem for normal, moderate, and large deviations for symmetric simple random walk on the square lattice in dimensions one and two that is an improvement of existing results for points that are particularly distant…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Christian Beneš

For a given positive random variable $V>0$ and a given $Z\sim N(0,1)$ independent of $V$, we compute the scalar $t_0$ such that the distance between $Z\sqrt{V}$ and $Z\sqrt{t_0}$ in the $L^2(\R)$ sense, is minimal. We also consider the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Gérard Letac , Hélène Massam