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Related papers: Risk-aware Stochastic Shortest Path

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We review the literature on individual patient organ acceptance decision making by presenting a Markov Decision Process (MDP) model to formulate the organ acceptance decision process as a stochastic control problem. Under the umbrella of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Xingyu Ren , Michael C. Fu , Steven I. Marcus

Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ingy Elsayed-Aly , David Parker , Lu Feng

We introduce and study the multi-agent stochastic shortest path (MSSP) problem, in which $k$ agents strive to reach a target state, aiming to minimize the expected time to reach the target by any agent. We analyze the computational and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Martin Jonáš , Antonín Kučera , Vojtěch Kůr , Jan Mačák , Vojtěch Řehák

Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP) is a widely used and fundamental algorithm for solving multistage stochastic optimization problems. Although SDDP has been frequently applied to solve risk-averse models with the Conditional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Iago Leal , Raphael Chabar , Mario Veiga Pereira

We consider the problem of multiple sensor scheduling for remote state estimation of multiple process over a shared link. In this problem, a set of sensors monitor mutually independent dynamical systems in parallel but only one sensor can…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Duo Han , Junfeng Wu , Yilin Mo , Lihua Xie

In this paper, we consider a finite-horizon Markov decision process (MDP) for which the objective at each stage is to minimize a quantile-based risk measure (QBRM) of the sequence of future costs; we call the overall objective a dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-10 Daniel R. Jiang , Warren B. Powell

The fixed-horizon constrained Markov Decision Process (C-MDP) is a well-known model for planning in stochastic environments under operating constraints. Chance-Constrained MDP (CC-MDP) is a variant that allows bounding the probability of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Majid Khonji

Constrained Stochastic Shortest Path Problems (CSSPs) model problems with probabilistic effects, where a primary cost is minimised subject to constraints over secondary costs, e.g., minimise time subject to monetary budget. Current…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Johannes Schmalz , Felipe Trevizan

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide a modeling framework for autonomous decision making under uncertainty and imperfect sensing, e.g. robot manipulation and self-driving cars. However, optimal control of POMDPs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Rangoli Sharan , Joel W. Burdick

We study the problem of learning in the stochastic shortest path (SSP) setting, where an agent seeks to minimize the expected cost accumulated before reaching a goal state. We design a novel model-based algorithm EB-SSP that carefully skews…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Jean Tarbouriech , Runlong Zhou , Simon S. Du , Matteo Pirotta , Michal Valko , Alessandro Lazaric

Robust Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are receiving much attention in learning a robust policy which is less sensitive to environment changes. There are an increasing number of works analyzing sample-efficiency of robust MDPs. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-13 Wenhao Yang , Han Wang , Tadashi Kozuno , Scott M. Jordan , Zhihua Zhang

This work investigates the challenge of ensuring safety guarantees in the presence of uncontrollable agents, whose behaviors are stochastic and depend on both their own and the system's states. We present a neural model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Shuqi Wang , Mingyang Feng , Yu Chen , Yue Gao , Xiang Yin

This paper deals with the Stochastic Capacitated Arc Routing Problem (SCARP), obtained by randomizing quantities on the arcs in the CARP. Optimization problems for the SCARP are characterized by decisions that are made without knowing their…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Fleury Gérard , Lacomme Philippe , Christian Prins

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) in which the transition probabilities and rewards belong to an uncertainty set parametrized by a collection of random variables. The probability distributions for these random parameters are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

A classic reachability problem for safety of dynamic systems is to compute the set of initial states from which the state trajectory is guaranteed to stay inside a given constraint set over a given time horizon. In this paper, we leverage…

This paper addresses objectives tailored to the risk-averse optimization of accumulated rewards in Markov decision processes (MDPs). The studied objectives require maximizing the expected value of the accumulated rewards minus a penalty…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Christel Baier , Jakob Piribauer , Maximilian Starke

Motion planning for autonomous driving must account for multi-modal uncertainty in both the intentions and trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Handling uncertainty in a worst-case manner guarantees robustness but often leads to excessive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Zekun Xing , Ramkrishna Chaudhari , Marion Leibold , Dirk Wollherr , Martin Buss

We consider the problem of online reinforcement learning for the Stochastic Shortest Path (SSP) problem modeled as an unknown MDP with an absorbing state. We propose PSRL-SSP, a simple posterior sampling-based reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Mehdi Jafarnia-Jahromi , Liyu Chen , Rahul Jain , Haipeng Luo

We present a probabilistic formulation of risk aware optimal control problems for stochastic differential equations. Risk awareness is in our framework captured by objective functions in which the risk neutral expectation is replaced by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Jukka Isohätälä , William B. Haskell

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic economic model predictive control (SEMPC) that minimizes average economic cost while satisfying an empirical expected shortfall (EES) constraint to manage risk. A new scenario-based problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Alireza Arastou , Algo Carè , Ye Wang , Marco Campi , Erik Weyer