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Related papers: Risk-aware Stochastic Shortest Path

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Stochastic sequential decision making often requires hierarchical structure in the problem where each high-level action should be further planned with primitive states and actions. In addition, many real-world applications require a plan…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Sungkweon Hong , Brian C. Williams

In transportation networks, where traffic lights have traditionally been used for vehicle coordination, intersections act as natural bottlenecks. A formidable challenge for existing automated intersections lies in detecting and reasoning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Majid Khonji , Rashid Alyassi , Wolfgang Merkt , Areg Karapetyan , Xin Huang , Sungkweon Hong , Jorge Dias , Brian Williams

Stochastic Shortest Path (SSP) MDPs is a problem class widely studied in AI, especially in probabilistic planning. They describe a wide range of scenarios but make the restrictive assumption that the goal is reachable from any state, i.e.,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Andrey Kolobov , Mausam , Daniel Weld

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are the defacto frame-work for sequential decision making in the presence ofstochastic uncertainty. A classical optimization criterion forMDPs is to maximize the expected discounted-sum pay-off, which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Tomas Brazdil , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Petr Novotny , Jiri Vahala

The problem of synthesizing stochastic explicit model predictive control policies is known to be quickly intractable even for systems of modest complexity when using classical control-theoretic methods. To address this challenge, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Aaron Tuor , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Draguna Vrabie

In this paper, we consider a multi-objective control problem for stochastic systems that seeks to minimize a cost of interest while ensuring safety. We introduce a novel measure of safety risk using the conditional value-at-risk and a set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Samantha Samuelson , Insoon Yang

A large class of decision making under uncertainty problems can be described via Markov decision processes (MDPs) or partially observable MDPs (POMDPs), with application to artificial intelligence and operations research, among others.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Ugo Rosolia , Michel D. Ingham , Richard M. Murray , Aaron D. Ames

In this paper, we consider a class of continuous-time, continuous-space stochastic optimal control problems. Building upon recent advances in Markov chain approximation methods and sampling-based algorithms for deterministic path planning,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2012-02-27 Vu Anh Huynh , Sertac Karaman , Emilio Frazzoli

Choosing control inputs randomly can result in a reduced expected cost in optimal control problems with stochastic constraints, such as stochastic model predictive control (SMPC). We consider a controller with initial randomization, meaning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-07-07 Masahiro Ono , Mahmoud El Chamie , Marco Pavone , Behcet Acikmese

Inspired by Shapiro et al.~\cite{shapiro2023episodic}, we consider a stochastic optimal control (SOC) and Markov decision process (MDP) where the risks arising from epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties are assessed using Bayesian composite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Wentao Ma , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu

Stochastic domains often involve risk-averse decision makers. While recent work has focused on how to model risk in Markov decision processes using risk measures, it has not addressed the problem of solving large risk-averse formulations.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-19 Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

One of the critical challenges in automated driving is ensuring safety of automated vehicles despite the unknown behavior of the other vehicles. Although motion prediction modules are able to generate a probability distribution associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-28 Luyao Zhang , George Pantazis , Shaohang Han , Sergio Grammatico

In this paper, we consider the problem of real-time transmission scheduling over time-varying channels. We first formulate the transmission scheduling problem as a Markov decision process (MDP) and systematically unravel the structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Fangwen Fu , Mihaela van der Schaar

Sequential decisions in volatile, high-stakes settings require more than maximizing expected return; they require principled uncertainty management. This paper presents the Uncertainty-Aware Markov Decision Process (UAMDP), a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Michal Koren , Or Peretz , Tai Dinh , Philip S. Yu

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

We consider the problem of designing policies for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with dynamic coherent risk objectives. Synthesizing risk-averse optimal policies for POMDPs requires infinite memory and thus…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Masahiro Ono , Michel D. Ingham , Richard M. Murray , Aaron D. Ames

Many control problems in environments that can be modeled as Markov decision processes (MDPs) concern infinite-time horizon specifications. The classical aim in this context is to compute a control policy that maximizes the probability of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-03 Ruediger Ehlers , Salar Moarref , Ufuk Topcu

In this paper, we present a novel Model Predictive Control method for autonomous robots subject to arbitrary forms of uncertainty. The proposed Risk-Aware Model Predictive Path Integral (RA-MPPI) control utilizes the Conditional…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Ji Yin , Zhiyuan Zhang , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a popular model for performance analysis and optimization of stochastic systems. The parameters of stochastic behavior of MDPs are estimates from empirical observations of a system; their values are not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-10-26 Dimitri Scheftelowitsch , Peter Buchholz , Vahid Hashemi , Holger Hermanns

Risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) offers a control framework that allows one to account for ambiguity in the knowledge of the underlying probability distribution and unifies stochastic and worst-case MPC. In this paper we study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Pantelis Sopasakis , Domagoj Herceg , Alberto Bemporad , Panagiotis Patrinos