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One of the challenging questions in time series forecasting is how to find the best algorithm. In recent years, a recommender system scheme has been developed for time series analysis using a meta-learning approach. This system selects the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-23 Sasan Barak , Mahdi Nasiri , Mehrdad Rostamzadeh

Although the pre-training followed by fine-tuning paradigm is used extensively in many fields, there is still some controversy surrounding the impact of pre-training on the fine-tuning process. Currently, experimental findings based on text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Jiashu Pu , Shiwei Zhao , Ling Cheng , Yongzhu Chang , Runze Wu , Tangjie Lv , Rongsheng Zhang

This paper derives practical algorithms, based on Bayesian inference methods, for several data analysis problems common in time series analysis of astronomical and other data. One problem is the determination of the lag between two time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Jeffrey D. Scargle

We show that the standard computational pipeline of probabilistic programming systems (PPSs) can be inefficient for estimating expectations and introduce the concept of expectation programming to address this. In expectation programming,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Tim Reichelt , Adam Goliński , Luke Ong , Tom Rainforth

Meta learning is a promising technique for solving few-shot fault prediction problems, which have attracted the attention of many researchers in recent years. Existing meta-learning methods for time series prediction, which predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Hai Su , Jiajun Hu , Songsen Yu

Time series of counts arise in a variety of forecasting applications, for which traditional models are generally inappropriate. This paper introduces a hierarchical Bayesian formulation applicable to count time series that can easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-16 Nicolas Chapados

Synchronization is a fundamental component of computational models of human behavior, at both intra-personal and inter-personal level. Event synchronization analysis was originally conceived with the aim of providing a simple and robust…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Paolo Alborno , Gualtiero Volpe , Maurizio Mancini , Radoslaw Niewiadomski , Stefano Piana , Antonio Camurri

A new general procedure for a priori selection of more predictable events from a time series of observed variable is proposed. The procedure is applicable to time series which contains different types of events that feature significantly…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Igor B. Konovalov

Handling anomalies is a critical preprocessing step in multivariate time series prediction. However, existing approaches that separate anomaly preprocessing from model training for multivariate time series prediction encounter significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Yuanyuan Liang , Tianhao Zhang , Tingyu Xie

Fuzzy c-means based clustering algorithms are frequently used for Takagi-Sugeno-Kang (TSK) fuzzy classifier antecedent parameter estimation. One rule is initialized from each cluster. However, most of these clustering algorithms are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Yuqi Cui , Huidong Wang , Dongrui Wu

Stochastic differential equations describe well many physical, biological and sociological systems, despite the simplification often made in their derivation. Here the usage of simple stochastic differential equations to characterize and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-27 Daniel Pumpe , Maksim Greiner , Ewald Müller , Torsten A. Enßlin

The task of assigning label sequences to a set of observed sequences is common in computational linguistics. Several models for sequence labeling have been proposed over the last few years. Here, we focus on discriminative models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-12 P. Balamurugan , Shirish Shevade , S. Sundararajan , S. S Keerthi

Time series prediction has been a long-standing research topic and an essential application in many domains. Modern time series collected from sensor networks (e.g., energy consumption and traffic flow) are often large-scale and incomplete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun

In the era of increasingly complex AI models for time series forecasting, progress is often measured by marginal improvements on benchmark leaderboards. However, this approach suffers from a fundamental flaw: standard evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wanjin Feng , Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Statistical optimality benchmarking is crucial for analyzing and designing time series classification (TSC) algorithms. This study proposes to benchmark the optimality of TSC algorithms in distinguishing diffusion processes by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-13 Zehong Zhang , Fei Lu , Esther Xu Fei , Terry Lyons , Yannis Kevrekidis , Tom Woolf

Despite the eminent successes of deep neural networks, many architectures are often hard to transfer to irregularly-sampled and asynchronous time series that commonly occur in real-world datasets, especially in healthcare applications. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Max Horn , Michael Moor , Christian Bock , Bastian Rieck , Karsten Borgwardt

Time series, as one of the most fundamental representations of sequential data, has been extensively studied across diverse disciplines, including computer science, biology, geology, astronomy, and environmental sciences. The advent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 John Paparrizos , Fan Yang , Haojun Li

In the last five years there have been a large number of new time series classification algorithms proposed in the literature. These algorithms have been evaluated on subsets of the 47 data sets in the University of California, Riverside…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-05 Anthony Bagnall , Aaron Bostrom , James Large , Jason Lines

Quantifying synchronization phenomena based on the timing of events has recently attracted a great deal of interest in various disciplines such as neuroscience or climatology. A multitude of similarity measures has been proposed for this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-24 Adrian Odenweller , Reik V. Donner

As automated decision making and decision assistance systems become common in everyday life, research on the prevention or mitigation of potential harms that arise from decisions made by these systems has proliferated. However, various…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Samer B. Nashed , Justin Svegliato , Su Lin Blodgett