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The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan

Creating accurate predictions in the stock market has always been a significant challenge in finance. With the rise of machine learning as the next level in the forecasting area, this research paper compares four machine learning models and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Albert Wong , Steven Whang , Emilio Sagre , Niha Sachin , Gustavo Dutra , Yew-Wei Lim , Gaetan Hains , Youry Khmelevsky , Frank Zhang

Accurate volatility forecasting is essential in banking, investment, and risk management, because expectations about future market movements directly influence current decisions. This study proposes a hybrid modelling framework that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Anna Perekhodko , Robert Ślepaczuk

The primary objective of this work is to develop a Neural Network based on LSTM to predict stock market movements using tweets. Word embeddings, used in the LSTM network, are initialised using Stanford's GloVe embeddings, pretrained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Kavyashree Ranawat , Stefano Giani

Improvements in return forecast accuracy do not always lead to proportional improvements in portfolio decision quality, especially under realistic trading frictions and constraints. This paper adopts the Smart Predict--then--Optimize (SPO)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Wang Yi , Takashi Hasuike

A pair-trading strategy is an approach that utilizes the fluctuations between prices of a pair of stocks in a short-term time frame, while in the long-term the pair may exhibit a strong association and co-movement pattern. When the prices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Jaydip Sen

Deep learning offers new tools for portfolio optimization. We present an end-to-end framework that directly learns portfolio weights by combining Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to model temporal patterns, Graph Attention Networks…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Yun Lin , Jiawei Lou , Jinghe Zhang

In the realm of financial decision-making, predicting stock prices is pivotal. Artificial intelligence techniques such as long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), support-vector machines (SVMs), and natural language processing (NLP) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kevin Taylor , Jerry Ng

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

The global gold market, by its fundamentals, has long been home to many financial institutions, banks, governments, funds, and micro-investors. Due to the inherent complexity and relationship between important economic and political…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Hesam Taghipour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati

As the number of publicly traded companies as well as the amount of their financial data grows rapidly, it is highly desired to have tracking, analysis, and eventually stock selections automated. There have been few works focusing on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-04 Sercan Arik , Sukru Burc Eryilmaz , Adam Goldberg

Stock trading has always been a key economic indicator in modern society and a primary source of profit for financial giants such as investment banks, quantitative trading firms, and hedge funds. Discovering the underlying patterns within…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Fang Liu , Shaobo Guo , Qianwen Xing , Xinye Sha , Ying Chen , Yuhui Jin , Qi Zheng , Chang Yu

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey

The financial domain presents a complex environment for stock market prediction, characterized by volatile patterns and the influence of multifaceted data sources. Traditional models have leveraged either Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Arya Chakraborty , Auhona Basu

Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Raihan Tanvir , Md Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam

Economy is severely dependent on the stock market. An uptrend usually corresponds to prosperity while a downtrend correlates to recession. Predicting the stock market has thus been a centre of research and experiment for a long time. Being…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Shayan Halder

The task of predicting future stock values has always been one that is heavily desired albeit very difficult. This difficulty arises from stocks with non-stationary behavior, and without any explicit form. Hence, predictions are best made…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-19 Hieu Quang Nguyen , Abdul Hasib Rahimyar , Xiaodi Wang

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu
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