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We propose an approach to compute the conditional moments of fat-tailed phenomena that, only looking at data, could be mistakenly considered as having infinite mean. This type of problems manifests itself when a random variable Y has a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Pasquale Cirillo

In sequence prediction tasks like neural machine translation, training with cross-entropy loss often leads to models that overgeneralize and plunge into local optima. In this paper, we propose an extended loss function called \emph{dual…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Zuchao Li , Hai Zhao , Yingting Wu , Fengshun Xiao , Shu Jiang

Skewness and kurtosis are fundamental statistical moments commonly used to quantify asymmetry and tail behavior in probability distributions. Despite their widespread application in statistical mechanics, condensed matter physics, and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-06-23 Carlo De Michele , Samuele De Bartolo

Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ingy Elsayed-Aly , David Parker , Lu Feng

We define Conditional quasi concave Performance Measures (CPMs), on random variables bounded from below, to accommodate for additional information. Our notion encompasses a wide variety of cases, from conditional expected utility and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-18 Sara Biagini , Jocelyne Bion-Nadal

Recently, authors have studied weighted version of Kerridge inaccuracy measure for truncated distributions. In the present communication we introduce the notion of weighted interval inaccuracy measure for two-sided truncated random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Chanchal Kundu

In this paper, we compare three different model-based risk measures by evaluating their stengths and weaknesses qualitatively and testing them quantitatively on a set of real longitudinal and intersection scenarios. We start with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Julian Eggert , Tim Puphal

We use Stein characterisations to derive new moment-type estimators for the parameters of several truncated multivariate distributions in the i.i.d. case; we also derive the asymptotic properties of these estimators. Our examples include…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Yvik Swan

We study finite state random dynamical systems (RDS) and their induced Markov chains (MC) as stochastic models for complex dynamics. The linear representation of deterministic maps in RDS are matrix-valued random variables whose…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Felix X. -F. Ye , Hong Qian

We formalise and generalise the definition of the family of univariate double two--piece distributions, obtained by using a density--based transformation of unimodal symmetric continuous distributions with a shape parameter. The resulting…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-07 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

We derive the LO DGLAP evolution equation for the full Mellin moments of the truncated at $x_0$ first moment of the nonsinglet parton distribution. This "moment of moment" approach allows to determine the small-$x_0$ behaviour of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-03-25 D. Kotlorz , A. Kotlorz

Dynamic time warping distance (DTW) is a widely used distance measure between time series. The best known algorithms for computing DTW run in near quadratic time, and conditional lower bounds prohibit the existence of significantly faster…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-05-27 William Kuszmaul

Purpose: To facilitate the implementation/validation of signal representations and models using parametric matrix-variate distributions to approximate the diffusion tensor distribution (DTD) $\mathcal{P}(\mathbf{D})$. Theory: We establish…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-25 A. Reymbaut

The cross section for transverse momentum dependent double parton scattering involves transverse momentum dependent double parton distributions (DTMDs). In the region of perturbative transverse momentum the DTMDs can be matched onto…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-11-02 Maarten G. A. Buffing , Markus Diehl , Tomas Kasemets

We derive the form of the variance-covariance matrix for any affine equivariant matrix-valued statistics when sampling from complex elliptical distributions. We then use this result to derive the variance-covariance matrix of the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-10 Elias Raninen , Esa Ollila , David E. Tyler

Central moments and cumulants are often employed to characterize the distribution of data. The skewness and kurtosis are particularly useful for the detection of outliers, the assessment of departures from normally distributed data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-03-24 Lorenzo Rimoldini

The statistical parameters of five generalizations of the Lindley distribution, such as the average, variance and moments, are reviewed. A new double truncated Lindley distribution with three parameters is derived. The new distributions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Lorenzo Zaninetti

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

In this paper we propose a family of multivariate asymmetric distributions over an arbitrary subset of set of real numbers which is defined in terms of the well-known elliptically symmetric distributions. We explore essential properties,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Leonardo Santos , João Monteiros , Felipe Quintino

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu
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