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The Learning Rate (LR) has a high impact on deep learning training performance. A common practice is to train a Deep Neural Network (DNN) multiple times with different LR policies to find the optimal LR policy, which has been widely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Hongpeng Jin , Yanzhao Wu

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

One of the challenging questions in time series forecasting is how to find the best algorithm. In recent years, a recommender system scheme has been developed for time series analysis using a meta-learning approach. This system selects the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-23 Sasan Barak , Mahdi Nasiri , Mehrdad Rostamzadeh

Statistical methods such as the Box-Jenkins method for time-series forecasting have been prominent since their development in 1970. Many researchers rely on such models as they can be efficiently estimated and also provide interpretability.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Indrajeet Y. Javeri , Mohammadhossein Toutiaee , Ismailcem B. Arpinar , Tom W. Miller , John A. Miller

We present the checkpoint ensembles method that can learn ensemble models on a single training process. Although checkpoint ensembles can be applied to any parametric iterative learning technique, here we focus on neural networks. Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Hugh Chen , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

Predictions in the form of probability distributions are crucial for effective decision-making. Quantile regression enables such predictions within spatial prediction settings that aim to create improved precipitation datasets by merging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

The forecasting combination puzzle is a well-known phenomenon in forecasting literature, stressing the challenge of outperforming the simple average when aggregating forecasts from diverse methods. This study proposes a Reinforcement…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-29 Marcelo C. Medeiros , Jeronymo M. Pinro

In many data-driven applications, collecting data from different sources is increasingly desirable for enhancing performance. In this paper, we are interested in the problem of probabilistic forecasting with multi-source time series. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Tian Guo

It is well recognized that the project productivity is a key driver in estimating software project effort from Use Case Point size metric at early software development stages. Although, there are few proposed models for predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Mohammad Azzeh , Ali Bou Nassif , Shadi Banitaan , Cuauhtemoc Lopez-Martin

This paper examines the use of a residual bootstrap for bias correction in machine learning regression methods. Accounting for bias is an important obstacle in recent efforts to develop statistical inference for machine learning methods. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 Giles Hooker , Lucas Mentch

Ensemble models refer to methods that combine a typically large number of classifiers into a compound prediction. The output of an ensemble method is the result of fitting a base-learning algorithm to a given data set, and obtaining diverse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Waldyn Martinez

Bootstrap aggregating (Bagging) and boosting are two popular ensemble learning approaches, which combine multiple base learners to generate a composite model for more accurate and more reliable performance. They have been widely used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Changming Zhao , Dongrui Wu , Jian Huang , Ye Yuan , Hai-Tao Zhang , Ruimin Peng , Zhenhua Shi

An ensemble consists of a set of individually trained classifiers (such as neural networks or decision trees) whose predictions are combined when classifying novel instances. Previous research has shown that an ensemble is often more…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-02 R. Maclin , D. Opitz

Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Yen-Yu Chang , Fan-Yun Sun , Yueh-Hua Wu , Shou-De Lin

Spiking neural networks (SNNs), inspired by the spiking behavior of biological neurons, provide a unique pathway for capturing the intricacies of temporal data. However, applying SNNs to time-series forecasting is challenging due to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Changze Lv , Yansen Wang , Dongqi Han , Xiaoqing Zheng , Xuanjing Huang , Dongsheng Li

Ensembling multiple predictions is a widely used technique for improving the accuracy of various machine learning tasks. One obvious drawback of ensembling is its higher execution cost during inference. In this paper, we first describe our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Hiroshi Inoue

Ensemble learning is a technique where multiple component learners are combined through a protocol. We propose an Ensemble Neural Network (ENN) that uses the combined latent-feature space of multiple neural network classifiers to improve…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-05-06 Jack Y. Araz , Michael Spannowsky

Ensemble methods for supervised machine learning have become popular due to their ability to accurately predict class labels with groups of simple, lightweight "base learners." While ensembles offer computationally efficient models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-09-01 Orianna DeMasi , Juan Meza , David H. Bailey

Daily streamflow forecasting through data-driven approaches is traditionally performed using a single machine learning algorithm. Existing applications are mostly restricted to examination of few case studies, not allowing accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-24 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous , Andreas Langousis

Introduction. We investigate the generalization ability of models built on datasets containing a small number of subjects, recorded in single study protocols. Next, we propose and evaluate methods combining these datasets into a single,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Gideon Vos , Kelly Trinh , Zoltan Sarnyai , Mostafa Rahimi Azghadi