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Learning to sample from intractable distributions over discrete sets without relying on corresponding training data is a central problem in a wide range of fields, including Combinatorial Optimization. Currently, popular deep learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Sebastian Sanokowski , Sepp Hochreiter , Sebastian Lehner

Common statistical measures of uncertainty such as $p$-values and confidence intervals quantify the uncertainty due to sampling, that is, the uncertainty due to not observing the full population. However, sampling is not the only source of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Suyash Gupta , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Many natural and social science systems are described using probability distributions over elements that are related to each other: for instance, occupations with shared skills or species with similar traits. Standard information theory…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Rohit Sahasrabuddhe , Renaud Lambiotte

We present a unified technique for sequential estimation of convex divergences between distributions, including integral probability metrics like the kernel maximum mean discrepancy, $\varphi$-divergences like the Kullback-Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Tudor Manole , Aaditya Ramdas

We construct a class of real-valued nonnegative binary functions on a set of jointly distributed random variables, which satisfy the triangle inequality and vanish at identical arguments (pseudo-quasi-metrics). These functions are useful in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

We derive distributional limits for empirical transport distances between probability measures supported on countable sets. Our approach is based on sensitivity analysis of optimal values of infinite dimensional mathematical programs and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Carla Tameling , Max Sommerfeld , Axel Munk

We propose a fundamental metric for measuring the distance between two distributions. This metric, referred to as the decision-focused (DF) divergence, is tailored to stochastic linear optimization problems in which the objective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Suhan Liu , Mo Liu

In Bayesian statistics probability distributions express beliefs. However, for many problems the beliefs cannot be computed analytically and approximations of beliefs are needed. We seek a loss function that quantifies how "embarrassing" it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Reimar H. Leike , Torsten A. Enßlin

Divergences are quantities that measure discrepancy between two probability distributions and play an important role in various fields such as statistics and machine learning. Divergences are non-negative and are equal to zero if and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Tomohiro Nishiyama

We introduce a new transformation called \emph{relative differential-escort}, which extends the usual differential-escort transformation by relating the change of variable to a reference probability density. As an application of it, we…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-07-24 Razvan Gabriel Iagar , David Puertas-Centeno , Elio V. Toranzo

Hypothesis testing in high dimensional data is a notoriously difficult problem without direct access to competing models' likelihood functions. This paper argues that statistical divergences can be used to quantify the difference between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-02 Jeremy J. H. Wilkinson , Christopher G. Lester

A well-known technique in estimating probabilities of rare events in general and in information theory in particular (used, e.g., in the sphere-packing bound), is that of finding a reference probability measure under which the event of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-12-23 Rami Atar , Neri Merhav

In many contemporary statistical and machine learning methods, one needs to optimize an objective function that depends on the discrepancy between two probability distributions. The discrepancy can be referred to as a metric for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Yijin Ni , Xiaoming Huo

We provide optimal lower and upper bounds for the augmented Kullback-Leibler divergence in terms of the augmented total variation distance between two probability measures defined on two Euclidean spaces having different dimensions. We call…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Michele Caprio

Accurate probabilistic predictions can be characterized by two properties -- calibration and sharpness. However, standard maximum likelihood training yields models that are poorly calibrated and thus inaccurate -- a 90% confidence interval…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Shachi Deshpande

Classical linear metric learning methods have recently been extended along two distinct lines: deep metric learning methods for learning embeddings of the data using neural networks, and Bregman divergence learning approaches for extending…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Kubra Cilingir , Rachel Manzelli , Brian Kulis

Mutual information is widely used, in a descriptive way, to measure the stochastic dependence of categorical random variables. In order to address questions such as the reliability of the descriptive value, one must consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Marcus Hutter , Marco Zaffalon

Divergence measures have a long association with statistical inference, machine learning and information theory. The density power divergence and related measures have produced many useful (and popular) statistical procedures, which provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Souvik Ray , Subrata Pal , Sumit Kumar Kar , Ayanendranath Basu

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

This article presents a general approximation-theoretic framework to analyze measure transport algorithms for probabilistic modeling. A primary motivating application for such algorithms is sampling -- a central task in statistical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-19 Ricardo Baptista , Bamdad Hosseini , Nikola B. Kovachki , Youssef M. Marzouk , Amir Sagiv