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Our study empirically predicts the bubble of non-fungible tokens (NFTs): transferable and unique digital assets on public blockchains. This topic is important because, despite their strong market growth in 2021, NFTs on a project basis have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-17 Kensuke Ito , Kyohei Shibano , Gento Mogi

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Stock market plays an important role in the economic development. Due to the complex volatility of the stock market, the research and prediction on the change of the stock price, can avoid the risk for the investors. The traditional time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-23 Zhuangwei Shi , Yang Hu , Guangliang Mo , Jian Wu

The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Juan C. King , Roberto Dale , José M. Amigó

This paper proposes a hybrid framework combining LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks with LightGBM and CatBoost for stock price prediction. The framework processes time-series financial data and evaluates performance using seven models:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Chang Yu , Fang Liu , Jie Zhu , Shaobo Guo , Yifan Gao , Zhongheng Yang , Meiwei Liu , Qianwen Xing

This paper studies the forecasting ability of cryptocurrency time series. This study is about the four most capitalized cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple. Different Bayesian models are compared, including models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-17 Rick Bohte , Luca Rossini

This paper presents a method for time series forecasting with deep learning and its assessment on two datasets. The method starts with data preparation, followed by model training and evaluation. The final step is a visual inspection.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Gissel Velarde

Many prediction problems can be phrased as inferences over local neighborhoods of graphs. The graph represents the interaction between entities, and the neighborhood of each entity contains information that allows the inferences or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Rakshit Agrawal , Luca de Alfaro , Vassilis Polychronopoulos

We present a novel approach for predicting the distribution of asset returns using a quantile-based method with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Our model is designed in two stages: the first focuses on predicting the quantiles of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-29 Ísak Pétursson , María Óskarsdóttir

Prediction models are crucial in the stock market as they aid in forecasting future prices and trends, enabling investors to make informed decisions and manage risks more effectively. In the Indian stock market, where volatility is often…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Omkar Oak , Rukmini Nazre , Rujuta Budke , Yogita Mahatekar

Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Bogdan Oancea , ŞTefan Cristian Ciucu

A main focus in economics research is understanding the time series of prices of goods and assets. While statistical models using only the properties of the time series itself have been successful in many aspects, we expect to gain a better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-15 Dániel Kondor , István Csabai , János Szüle , Márton Pósfai , Gábor Vattay

We extend the application and test the performance of a recently introduced volatility prediction framework encompassing LSTM and rough volatility. Our asset class of interest is cryptocurrencies, at the beginning of the "crypto-winter" in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-28 Siu Hin Tang , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Chao Zhou

Blockchain technology has changed how people think about how they used to store and trade their assets, as it introduced us to a whole new way to transact: using digital currencies. One of the major innovations of blockchain technology is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Trang Tran

Understanding the variations in trading price (volatility), and its response to exogenous information, is a well-researched topic in finance. In this study, we focus on finding stable and accurate volatility predictors for a relatively new…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-07 M. Eren Akbiyik , Mert Erkul , Killian Kaempf , Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

This paper gives an overview on how to develop a dense and deep neural network for making a time series prediction. First, the history and cornerstones in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning will be presented. After a short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Bojan Lukić

Cryptocurrency blockchains, beyond their primary role as distributed payment systems, are increasingly used to store and share arbitrary content, such as text messages and files. Although often non-financial, this hidden content can impact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Charalampos Kleitsikas , Nikolaos Korfiatis , Stefanos Leonardos , Carmine Ventre

Financial literacy is increasingly dependent on the ability to interpret complex financial data and utilize advanced forecasting tools. In this context, this study proposes a novel approach that combines transformer-based time series models…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Sukru Selim Calik , Andac Akyuz , Zeynep Hilal Kilimci , Kerem Colak

As a result of the greater availability of big data, as well as the decreasing costs and increasing power of modern computing, the use of artificial neural networks for financial time series forecasting is once again a major topic of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 Adam Balusik , Jared de Magalhaes , Rendani Mbuvha

The Black-Scholes Option pricing model (BSOPM) has long been in use for valuation of equity options to find the prices of stocks. In this work, using BSOPM, we have come up with a comparative analytical approach and numerical technique to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-31 Reaz Chowdhury , M. R. C. Mahdy , Tanisha Nourin Alam , Golam Dastegir Al Quaderi
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