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In statistical practice, a realistic Bayesian model for a given data set can be defined by a likelihood function that is analytically or computationally intractable, due to large data sample size, high parameter dimensionality, or complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 George Karabatsos , Fabrizio Leisen

This paper introduces Logical Credal Networks, an expressive probabilistic logic that generalizes many prior models that combine logic and probability. Given imprecise information represented by probability bounds and conditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Haifeng Qian , Radu Marinescu , Alexander Gray , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Francisco Barahona , Tian Gao , Ryan Riegel , Pravinda Sahu

Bayesian reasoning plays a significant role both in human rationality and in machine learning. In this paper, we introduce transfinite modal logic, which combines modal logic with ordinal arithmetic, in order to formalize Bayesian reasoning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Xinyu Wang

There is currently a renewed interest in the Bayesian predictive approach to statistics. This paper offers a review on foundational concepts and focuses on predictive modeling, which by directly reasoning on prediction, bypasses inferential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

Statistical inference can be seen as information processing involving input information and output information that updates belief about some unknown parameters. We consider the Bayesian framework for making inferences about dynamical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Artur O. Lopes , Silvia R. C. Lopes , Paulo Varandas

Deep learning is very effective at jointly learning feature representations and classification models, especially when dealing with high dimensional input patterns. Probabilistic logic reasoning, on the other hand, is capable to take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Giuseppe Marra , Francesco Giannini , Michelangelo Diligenti , Marco Gori

Many domain experts do not have the time or expertise to write formal Bayesian models. This paper takes an informal problem description as input, and combines a large language model and a probabilistic programming language to define a joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Justin Domke

Many questions in experimental mathematics are fundamentally inductive in nature. Here we demonstrate how Bayesian inference --the logic of partial beliefs-- can be used to quantify the evidence that finite data provide in favor of a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-20 Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

With the increasing interest in using large language models (LLMs) for planning in natural language, understanding their behaviors becomes an important research question. This work conducts a systematic investigation of LLMs' ability to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yixuan Wang , Freda Shi

We propose a novel framework seamlessly providing key properties of both neural nets (learning) and symbolic logic (knowledge and reasoning). Every neuron has a meaning as a component of a formula in a weighted real-valued logic, yielding a…

Here we focus on the description of the mechanisms behind the process of information aggregation and decision making, a basic step to understand emergent phenomena in society, such as trends, information spreading or the wisdom of crowds.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Víctor M. Eguíluz , N. Masuda , J. Fernández-Gracia

Testing hypotheses is an issue of primary importance in the scientific research, as well as in many other human activities. Much clarification about it can be achieved if the process of learning from data is framed in a stochastic model of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

Recent years have witnessed an increasing interest in training machines with reasoning ability, which deeply relies on accurately and clearly presented clue forms. The clues are usually modeled as entity-aware knowledge in existing studies.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Siru Ouyang , Zhuosheng Zhang , Hai Zhao

Bayesian models of cognition hypothesize that human brains make sense of data by representing probability distributions and applying Bayes' rule to find the best explanation for available data. Understanding the neural mechanisms underlying…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Milad Kharratzadeh , Thomas R. Shultz

Machine learning models support decision-making, yet the reasons behind their predictions are opaque. Clear and reliable explanations help users make informed decisions and avoid blindly trusting model outputs. However, many existing…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Francisco Mateus Rocha Filho , Ajalmar Rêgo da Rocha Neto , Thiago Alves Rocha

Functional Distributional Semantics provides a computationally tractable framework for learning truth-conditional semantics from a corpus. Previous work in this framework has provided a probabilistic version of first-order logic, recasting…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Guy Emerson

Consider a set of categorical variables where at least one of them is binary. The log-linear model that describes the counts in the resulting contingency table implies a specific logistic regression model, with the binary variable as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-05 Michail Papathomas

In this paper we show several similarities among logic systems that deal simultaneously with deductive and quantitative inference. We claim it is appropriate to call the tasks those systems perform as Quantitative Logic Reasoning. Analogous…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Marcelo Finger

The self-rationalising capabilities of LLMs are appealing because the generated explanations can give insights into the plausibility of the predictions. However, how faithful the explanations are to the predictions is questionable, raising…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Marc Braun , Jenny Kunz

Probabilistic Latent Semantic Analysis is a novel statistical technique for the analysis of two-mode and co-occurrence data, which has applications in information retrieval and filtering, natural language processing, machine learning from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Thomas Hofmann