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Gaussian process (GP) models form a core part of probabilistic machine learning. Considerable research effort has been made into attacking three issues with GP models: how to compute efficiently when the number of data is large; how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 James Hensman , Alexander G. de G. Matthews , Maurizio Filippone , Zoubin Ghahramani

Link prediction aims to reveal missing edges in a graph. We address this task with a Gaussian process that is transformed using simplified graph convolutions to better leverage the inductive bias of the domain. To scale the Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Felix L. Opolka , Pietro Liò

Modern macroeconometrics often relies on time series models for which it is time-consuming to evaluate the likelihood function. We demonstrate how Bayesian computations for such models can be drastically accelerated by reweighting and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-10 Marko Mlikota , Frank Schorfheide

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filters, have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. However, in many…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-29 Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez

Frequentist and likelihood methods of inference based on the multivariate skew-normal model encounter several technical difficulties with this model. In spite of the popularity of this class of densities, there are no broadly satisfactory…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-06 Brunero Liseo , Antonio Parisi

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

Gaussian processes are powerful, yet analytically tractable models for supervised learning. A Gaussian process is characterized by a mean function and a covariance function (kernel), which are determined by a model selection criterion. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-05 Benjamin Fischer , Nico Gorbach , Stefan Bauer , Yatao Bian , Joachim M. Buhmann

We present a sequential sampling methodology for weakly structural Markov laws, arising naturally in a Bayesian structure learning context for decomposable graphical models. As a key component of our suggested approach, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Jimmy Olsson , Tetyana Pavlenko , Felix L. Rios

Discretization of continuous-time diffusion processes is a widely recognized method for sampling. However, the canonical Euler-Maruyama discretization of the Langevin diffusion process, also named as Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC), studied…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-06 Anh Duc Doan , Xin Dang , Dao Nguyen

In regimes of low signal strengths and therefore a small signal-to-noise ratio, standard data analysis methods often fail to accurately estimate system properties. We present a method based on Monte Carlo simulations to effectively restore…

We study the Bayesian inverse problem for inferring the log-normal slowness function of the eikonal equation given noisy observation data on its solution at a set of spatial points. We study approximation of the posterior probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Zhan Fei Yeo , Viet Ha Hoang

Several machine learning problems arising in natural language processing can be modeled as a sequence labeling problem. We provide Gaussian process models based on pseudo-likelihood approximation to perform sequence labeling. Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-22 P. K. Srijith , P. Balamurugan , Shirish Shevade

The problem of Bayesian reduced rank regression is considered in this paper. We propose, for the first time, to use Langevin Monte Carlo method in this problem. A spectral scaled Student prior distrbution is used to exploit the underlying…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-16 The Tien Mai

This paper introduces a smoothed proximal Lagrangian method for minimizing a nonconvex smooth function over a convex domain with additional explicit convex nonlinear constraints. Two key features are 1) the proposed method is single-looped,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Wenqiang Pu , Kaizhao Sun , Jiawei Zhang

We propose a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) scheme to perform state inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. Current state-of-the-art methods to address this problem rely on particle MCMC techniques and its variants, such…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-15 Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Arnaud Doucet

We consider a class of high-dimensional spatial filtering problems, where the spatial locations of observations are unknown and driven by the partially observed hidden signal. This problem is exceptionally challenging as not only is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-07 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Modelling random dynamical systems in continuous time, diffusion processes are a powerful tool in many areas of science. Model parameters can be estimated from time-discretely observed processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-12 Susanne Pieschner , Christiane Fuchs

We develop a Bayesian approach to learning from sequential data by using Gaussian processes (GPs) with so-called signature kernels as covariance functions. This allows to make sequences of different length comparable and to rely on strong…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Csaba Toth , Harald Oberhauser

We study the problem of sampling from a target probability density function in frameworks where parallel evaluations of the log-density gradient are feasible. Focusing on smooth and strongly log-concave densities, we revisit the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Lu Yu , Arnak Dalalyan

For point patterns observed in natura, spatial heterogeneity is more the rule than the exception. In numerous applications, this can be mathematically handled by the flexible class of log Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs); in brief, a LGCP is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Jiří Dvořák , Jesper Møller , Tomáš Mrkvička , Samuel Soubeyrand