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The last decade has seen an explosion in data sources available for the monitoring and prediction of environmental phenomena. While several inferential methods have been developed that make predictions on the underlying process by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Eun-Hye Yoo , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael G. Chipeta

Semi-structured regression models enable the joint modeling of interpretable structured and complex unstructured feature effects. The structured model part is inspired by statistical models and can be used to infer the input-output…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Daniel Dold , David Rügamer , Beate Sick , Oliver Dürr

The multivariate Fay-Herriot model is quite effective in combining information through correlations among small area survey estimates of related variables or historical survey estimates of the same variable or both. Though the literature on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-29 Takumi Saegusa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Partha Lahiri

We consider optimal non-sequential designs for a large class of (linear and nonlinear) regression models involving polynomials and rational functions with heteroscedastic noise also given by a polynomial or rational weight function. The…

Computation · Statistics 2011-08-30 Dávid Papp

In this paper, we introduce a novel high-dimensional Factor-Adjusted sparse Partially Linear regression Model (FAPLM), to integrate the linear effects of high-dimensional latent factors with the nonparametric effects of low-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Yanmei Shi , Meiling Hao , Yanlin Tang , Xu Guo

Population means and standard deviations are the most common estimands to quantify effects in factorial layouts. In fact, most statistical procedures in such designs are built towards inferring means or contrasts thereof. For more robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Marc Ditzhaus , Roland Fried , Markus Pauly

A design-based individual prediction approach is developed based on the expected cross-validation results, given the sampling design and the sample-splitting design for cross-validation. Whether the predictor is selected from an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-24 Li-Chun Zhang , Danhyang Lee

A composite likelihood is a non-genuine likelihood function that allows to make inference on limited aspects of a model, such as marginal or conditional distributions. Composite likelihoods are not proper likelihoods and need therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-06 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato , Nicola Sartori

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Small area estimation (SAE) improves estimates for local communities or groups, such as counties, neighborhoods, or demographic subgroups, when data are insufficient for each area. This is important for targeting local resources and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Rayleigh Lei , Yajuan Si

The split-plot design assigns different interventions at the whole-plot and sub-plot levels, respectively, and induces a group structure on the final treatment assignments. A common strategy is to use the OLS fit of the outcome on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

The authors propose a robust semi-parametric empirical likelihood method to integrate all available information from multiple samples with a common center of measurements. Two different sets of estimating equations are used to improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-03 Hsiao-Hsuan Wang , Yuehua Wu , Yuejiao Fu , Xiaogang Wang

The aim of this paper is to present a new estimation procedure that can be applied in many statistical frameworks including density and regression and which leads to both robust and optimal (or nearly optimal) estimators. In density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé , Mathieu Sart

An informative sampling design leads to unit inclusion probabilities that are correlated with the response variable of interest. However, multistage sampling designs may also induce higher order dependencies, which are typically ignored in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

This study concerns the formulation and application of Bayesian optimal experimental design to symbolic discovery, which is the inference from observational data of predictive models taking general functional forms. We apply constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Kenneth L. Clarkson , Cristina Cornelio , Sanjeeb Dash , Joao Goncalves , Lior Horesh , Nimrod Megiddo

Computer experiments with quantitative and qualitative inputs are widely used to study many scientific and engineering processes. Much of the existing work has focused on design and modeling or process optimization for such experiments.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-30 A. Shahrokhian , X. Deng , C. D. Lin , P. Ranjan , L. Xu

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

This paper considers the estimation of treatment effects in randomized experiments with complex experimental designs, including cases with interference between units. We develop a design-based estimation theory for arbitrary experimental…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-27 Haoge Chang

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Advances in data collecting technologies in genomics have significantly increased the need for tools designed to study the genetic basis of many diseases. Effective statistical methods should excel in both prediction accuracy and biomarker…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Anthony-Alexander Christidis , Stefan Van Aelst , Ruben Zamar