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Model-based design of experiments (MBDOE) is essential for efficient parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamical systems. However, conventional adaptive MBDOE requires costly posterior inference and design optimization between each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Arno Strouwen , Sebastian Micluţa-Câmpeanu

Structural Causal Models are widely used in causal modelling, but how they relate to other modelling tools is poorly understood. In this paper we provide a novel perspective on the relationship between Ordinary Differential Equations and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Paul K. Rubenstein , Stephan Bongers , Bernhard Schoelkopf , Joris M. Mooij

Forecasting system behaviour near and across bifurcations is crucial for identifying potential shifts in dynamical systems. While machine learning has recently been used to learn critical transitions and bifurcation structures from data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Eva van Tegelen , George van Voorn , Ioannis Athanasiadis , Peter van Heijster

Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Linus Heck , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Michael T. Schaub , Niklas Boers

Learning interpretable representations of neural dynamics at a population level is a crucial first step to understanding how observed neural activity relates to perception and behavior. Models of neural dynamics often focus on either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-13 Noga Mudrik , Yenho Chen , Eva Yezerets , Christopher J. Rozell , Adam S. Charles

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are foundational in modeling intricate dynamics across a gamut of scientific disciplines. Yet, a possibility to represent a single phenomenon through multiple ODE models, driven by different…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Itai Dattner , Shota Gugushvili , Oleksandr Laskorunskyi

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Ordinary and partial differential equations (ODEs/PDEs) play a paramount role in analyzing and simulating complex dynamic processes across all corners of science and engineering. In recent years machine learning tools are aspiring to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Sifan Wang , Paris Perdikaris

Irregular sampling intervals and missing values in real-world time series data present challenges for conventional methods that assume consistent intervals and complete data. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) offer an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 YongKyung Oh , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

Forecasting time series and time-dependent data is a common problem in many applications. One typical example is solving ordinary differential equation (ODE) systems $\dot{x}=F(x)$. Oftentimes the right hand side function $F(x)$ is not…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-14 Artem Chashchin , Mikhail Botchev , Ivan Oseledets , George Ovchinnikov

Stiff systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are pervasive in many science and engineering fields, yet standard neural ODE approaches struggle to learn them. This limitation is the main barrier to the widespread adoption of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Colby Fronk , Linda Petzold

Poverty is a complex dynamic challenge that cannot be adequately captured using predefined differential equations. Nowadays, artificial machine learning (ML) methods have demonstrated significant potential in modelling real-world dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Sandeep Kumar Samota , Snehashish Chakraverty , Narayan Sethi

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are a conventional way to describe the observed dynamics of physical systems. Scientists typically hypothesize about dynamical behavior, propose a mathematical model, and compare its predictions to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nils Wildt , Daniel M. Tartakovsky , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) have proven to be a powerful modeling tool for approximating (interpolation) and forecasting (extrapolation) irregularly sampled time series data. However, their performance degrades…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Hammad A. Ayyubi , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Discontinuities and delayed terms are encountered in the governing equations of a large class of problems ranging from physics and engineering to medicine and economics. These systems cannot be properly modelled and simulated with standard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Thibault Monsel , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin , Guillaume Charpiat

Complex dynamic systems are typically either modeled using expert knowledge in the form of differential equations or via data-driven universal approximation models such as artificial neural networks (ANN). While the first approach has…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Christoph Plate , Carl Julius Martensen , Sebastian Sager

In the context of high penetration of renewables, the need to build dynamic models of power system components based on accessible measurement data has become urgent. To address this challenge, firstly, a neural ordinary differential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-02 Tannan Xiao , Ying Chen , Shaowei Huang , Tirui He , Huizhe Guan

The core objective of machine-assisted scientific discovery is to learn physical laws from experimental data without prior knowledge of the systems in question. In the area of quantum physics, making progress towards these goals is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-09 Matthew Choi , Daniel Flam-Shepherd , Thi Ha Kyaw , Alán Aspuru-Guzik

In complex physical systems, conventional differential equations often fall short in capturing non-local and memory effects, as they are limited to local dynamics and integer-order interactions. This study introduces a stepwise data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-30 Xiangnan Yu , Hao Xu , Zhiping Mao , HongGuang Sun , Yong Zhang , Dongxiao Zhang , Yuntian Chen

Clinical time series data from electronic health records and medical registries offer unprecedented opportunities to understand patient trajectories and inform medical decision-making. However, leveraging such data presents significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Muhammad Aslanimoghanloo , Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven
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