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Learning continuous-time stochastic dynamics is a fundamental and essential problem in modeling sporadic time series, whose observations are irregular and sparse in both time and dimension. For a given system whose latent states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Yingru Liu , Yucheng Xing , Xuewen Yang , Xin Wang , Jing Shi , Di Jin , Zhaoyue Chen

We discuss weak convergence of the number of busy servers in a $G/G/\infty$ queue in the $J_1$-topology on the Skorokhod space. We prove two functional limit theorems, with random and nonrandom centering, respectively, thereby solving two…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-28 Alexander Iksanov , Wissem Jedidi , Fethi Bouzeffour

We study the distributions of the resilience of power flow models against transmission line failures via a so-called backup capacity. We consider three ensembles of random networks and in addition, the topology of the British transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-30 Timo Dewenter , Alexander K. Hartmann

We study stochastic transport of interacting particles on a disordered network described by the random comb geometry. The model is defined on a one-dimensional backbone from which branches of random lengths emanate, providing a minimal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-16 Swastik Majumder , Mustansir Barma

For large-scale power networks, the failure of particular transmission lines can offload power to other lines and cause self-protection trips to activate, instigating a cascade of line failures. In extreme cases, this can bring down the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-08 Charles Matthews , Bradly Stadie , Jonathan Weare , Mihai Anitescu , Christopher Demarco

We prove that a stochastic flow of reflected Brownian motions in a smooth multidimensional domain is differentiable with respect to its initial position. The derivative is a linear map represented by a multiplicative functional for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-26 Krzysztof Burdzy

Coexistence of different dynamical phases is a hallmark of glassy dynamics. This is well-studied in classical systems where the underlying theoretical framework is that of large deviation theory. The presence of a similar phase coexistence…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-26 María Cea , Marcel Cech , Federico Carollo , Igor Lesanovsky , Mari Carmen Bañuls

We consider the task of heavy-tailed statistical estimation given streaming $p$-dimensional samples. This could also be viewed as stochastic optimization under heavy-tailed distributions, with an additional $O(p)$ space complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Che-Ping Tsai , Adarsh Prasad , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

We prove the dynamical large deviations for a particle system in which particles may have different velocities. We assume that we have two infinite reservoirs of particles at the boundary: this is the so-called boundary driven process. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Jonathan Farfan , Alexandre B. Simas , Fabio J. Valentim

We derive explicit tail-estimates for the Jacobian of the solution flow for stochastic differential equations driven by Gaussian rough paths. In particular, we deduce that the Jacobian has finite moments of all order for a wide class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Thomas Cass , Christian Litterer , Terry Lyons

Stochastic reaction networks are dynamical models of biochemical reaction systems and form a particular class of continuous-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{N}^n$. Here we provide a fundamental characterisation that connects structural…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Daniele Cappelletti , Carsten Wiuf

Recent advances in variational inference enable the modelling of highly structured joint distributions, but are limited in their capacity to scale to the high-dimensional setting of stochastic neural networks. This limitation motivates a…

The aim of this paper is to establish the existence and uniqueness of the solution to a system of nonlinear fully coupled forward-backward doubly stochastic differential equations with Poisson jumps. Our system is Markovian in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 AbdulRahman Al-Hussein , Boulakhras Gherbal

We study functional convergence of sums of moving averages with random coefficients and heavy-tailed innovations. Under some standard moment conditions and the assumption that all partial sums of the series of coefficients are a.s. bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Danijel Krizmanić

When the arrival processes are Poisson, queueing networks are well-understood in terms of the product-form structure of the number of jobs $N_i$ at the individual queues; much less is known about the waiting time $W$ across the whole…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Florin Ciucu , Sima Mehri

We study convergence in law of partial sums of linear processes with heavy-tailed innovations. In the case of summable coefficients necessary and sufficient conditions for the finite dimensional convergence to an $\alpha$-stable L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Raluca M. Balan , Adam Jakubowski , Sana Louhichi

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama

Recent theoretical studies have shown that heavy-tails can emerge in stochastic optimization due to `multiplicative noise', even under surprisingly simple settings, such as linear regression with Gaussian data. While these studies have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Yuanhan Hu , Umut Simsekli , Kun Yuan , Lingjiong Zhu

We prove that the long term distribution of the queue length process in an ergodic generalised Jackson network obeys the Large Deviation Principle with a deviation function given by the quasipotential. The latter is related to the unique…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

In this article we propose a model for stochastic delay differential equation with jumps (SDDEJ) in a differentiable manifold $M$ endowed with a connection $\nabla$. In our model, the continuous part is driven by vector fields with a fixed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Leandro Morgado , Paulo R. Ruffino
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