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This paper analyzes the bank lending channel and the heterogeneous effects on the euro area, providing evidence that the channel is indeed working. The analysis of the transmission mechanism is based on structural impulse responses to an…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-12 Martin Guth

The notion that an independent central bank reduces a country's inflation is a controversial hypothesis. To date, it has not been possible to satisfactorily answer this question because the complex macroeconomic structure that gives rise to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-17 Philipp F. M. Baumann , Michael Schomaker , Enzo Rossi

This paper studies the spillovers of European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate shocks into the Canadian economy and compares them with those of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). We combine a VAR model and local projection regressions with…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-18 Santiago Camara , Jeanne Aublin

This paper analyzes nonlinearities in the international transmission of financial shocks originating in the US. To do so, we develop a flexible nonlinear multi-country model. Our framework is capable of producing asymmetries in the…

In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of conventional and unconventional monetary policy measures by the European Central Bank (ECB) conditional on the prevailing level of uncertainty. To obtain exogenous variation in central bank…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-01 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

Taking the European Central Bank unconventional policies as a reference, we suggest a class of Multiplicative Error Models (MEM) taylored to analyze the impact such policies have on stock market volatility. The new set of models, called MEM…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-26 Demetrio Lacava , Giampiero M. Gallo , Edoardo Otranto

No matter its source, financial- or policy-related, uncertainty can feed onto itself, inflicting the real economic sector, altering expectations and behaviours, and leading to identification challenges in empirical applications. The strong…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-15 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Catalin Dragomirescu-Gaina

The long-lasting socio-economic impact of the global financial crisis has questioned the adequacy of traditional tools in explaining periods of financial distress, as well as the adequacy of the existing policy response. In particular, the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-21 Chiara Perillo , Stefano Battiston

This paper shows that disregarding the information effects around the European Central Bank monetary policy decision announcements biases its international spillovers. Using data from 23 economies, both Emerging and Advanced, I show that…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-08 Santiago Camara

In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Muhammad Khan , Mazen Kebewar , Nikolay Nenovsky

This paper examines the impact of US monetary policy tightening on emerging markets, distinguishing between direct and indirect spillover effects using the global vector autoregression with stochastic volatility covering 32 countries. The…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-13 Povilas Lastauskas , Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen

This paper investigates how the cost of public debt shapes fiscal policy and its effect on the economy. Using U.S. historical data, I show that when servicing the debt creates a fiscal burden, the government responds to spending shocks by…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-15 Venance Riblier

We investigate the presence of sign and size non-linearities in the impact of the European Central Bank$^\prime$s Anti-Fragmentation Policy on non-ERM II, EU countries. After identifying three orthogonal monetary policy shock using the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-10 Iones Kelanemer Holban

With negative growth in real production in many countries and debt levels which become an increasing burden on developed societies, the calls for a change in economic policy and even the monetary system become louder and increasingly…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-08 Andreas Hula

This article conducts a literature review on the topic of monetary policy in developing countries and focuses on the effectiveness of monetary policy in promoting economic growth and the relationship between monetary policy and economic…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-07 Marouane Daoui

Recent developments in the global liberalization of equity and currency markets, coupled to advances in trading technologies, are making markets increasingly interdependent. This increased fluidity raises questions about the stability of…

adap-org · Physics 2019-08-15 Tad Hogg , Bernardo A. Huberman , Michael Youssefmir

This paper analyses the impact of credit expansions arising from decreases in collateral requirements or more expansionary monetary policies on long-term productivity in a model with endogenous growth. Credit expansions associated with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-23 Tomohiro Hirano , Joseph E. Stiglitz

The financial turmoil surrounding the Great Recession called for unprecedented intervention by Central Banks: unconventional policies affected various areas in the economy, including stock market volatility. In order to evaluate such…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-23 Giampiero M. Gallo , Demetrio Lacava , Edoardo Otranto

This paper examines the sign-dependent international spillovers of Federal Reserve and European Central Bank monetary policy shocks. Using a consistent high-frequency identification of pure monetary policy shocks across 44 advanced and…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-11 Santiago Camara

This article examines how emerging economies use countercyclical monetary policies to manage economic crises and fluctuations in dominant currencies, such as the US dollar and the euro. Global economic cycles are marked by phases of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-31 Hugo Spring-Ragain
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