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Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications. This paper proposes a novel way…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Lisa Wimmer , Eyke Hüllermeier , Thomas Nagler

Anomaly detection aims at detecting unexpected behaviours in the data. Because anomaly detection is usually an unsupervised task, traditional anomaly detectors learn a decision boundary by employing heuristics based on intuitions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Lorenzo Perini , Jesse Davis

Autoencoders gained popularity in the deep learning revolution given their ability to compress data and provide dimensionality reduction. Although prominent deep learning methods have been used to enhance autoencoders, the need to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Rohitash Chandra , Mahir Jain , Manavendra Maharana , Pavel N. Krivitsky

There are various measures of predictive uncertainty in the literature, but their relationships to each other remain unclear. This paper uses a decomposition of statistical pointwise risk into components, associated with different sources…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Nikita Kotelevskii , Vladimir Kondratyev , Martin Takáč , Éric Moulines , Maxim Panov

Deep learning models have exhibited superior performance in predictive tasks with the explosively increasing Electronic Health Records (EHR). However, due to the lack of transparency, behaviors of deep learning models are difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Riyi Qiu , Yugang Jia , Mirsad Hadzikadic , Michael Dulin , Xi Niu , Xin Wang

One major impediment to the wider use of deep learning for clinical decision making is the difficulty of assigning a level of confidence to model predictions. Currently, deep Bayesian neural networks and sparse Gaussian processes are the…

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

In this paper, we propose Normality-Calibrated Autoencoder (NCAE), which can boost anomaly detection performance on the contaminated datasets without any prior information or explicit abnormal samples in the training phase. The NCAE…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Jongmin Yu , Hyeontaek Oh , Minkyung Kim , Junsik Kim

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) have been used extensively to discover low-dimensional latent factors governing neural activity and animal behavior. However, without careful model selection, the uncovered latent factors may reflect noise in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Julia Huiming Wang , Dexter Tsin , Tatiana Engel

The Best Estimate plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach for nuclear systems modeling and simulation requires that the prediction uncertainty must be quantified in order to prove that the investigated design stays within acceptance criteria. A…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-24 Ziyu Xie , Farah Alsafadi , Xu Wu

With the development of deep learning-based methods, automated classification of electrocardiograms (ECGs) has recently gained much attention. Although the effectiveness of deep neural networks has been encouraging, the lack of information…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-02 Wenrui Zhang , Xinxin Di , Guodong Wei , Shijia Geng , Zhaoji Fu , Shenda Hong

An interesting development in automatic visual recognition has been the emergence of tasks where it is not possible to assign objective labels to images, yet still feasible to collect annotations that reflect human judgements about them.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Derek S. Prijatelj , Mel McCurrie , Walter J. Scheirer

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Recent deep learning methods for vessel trajectory prediction are able to learn complex maritime patterns from historical Automatic Identification System (AIS) data and accurately predict sequences of future vessel positions with a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Samuele Capobianco , Nicola Forti , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Paolo Braca , Peter Willett

Generative models based on variational autoencoders are a popular technique for detecting anomalies in images in a semi-supervised context. A common approach employs the anomaly score to detect the presence of anomalies, and it is known to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Muhammad Rashid , Elvio Amparore , Enrico Ferrari , Damiano Verda

An anomaly detection method based on deep autoencoders is proposed to address anomalies that often occur in enterprise-level ETL data streams. The study first analyzes multiple types of anomalies in ETL processes, including delays, missing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Xin Chen , Saili Uday Gadgil , Kangning Gao , Yi Hu , Cong Nie

Time Series Anomaly Detection metrics serve as crucial tools for model evaluation. However, existing metrics suffer from several limitations: insufficient discriminative power, strong hyperparameter dependency, sensitivity to perturbations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Zhijie Zhong , Zhiwen Yu , Yiu-ming Cheung , Kaixiang Yang

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Illia Oleksiienko , Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis

Uncertainty estimation and ensembling methods go hand-in-hand. Uncertainty estimation is one of the main benchmarks for assessment of ensembling performance. At the same time, deep learning ensembles have provided state-of-the-art results…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Arsenii Ashukha , Alexander Lyzhov , Dmitry Molchanov , Dmitry Vetrov

Detecting anomalies for multivariate time-series without manual supervision continues a challenging problem due to the increased scale of dimensions and complexity of today's IT monitoring systems. Recent progress of unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Qinfeng Xiao , Shikuan Shao , Jing Wang