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Robust Markov decision processes (r-MDPs) extend MDPs by explicitly modelling epistemic uncertainty about transition dynamics. Learning r-MDPs from interactions with an unknown environment enables the synthesis of robust policies with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Yannik Schnitzer , Alessandro Abate , David Parker

Recent years have seen an emergence of network modeling applied to moods, attitudes, and problems in the realm of psychology. In this framework, psychological variables are understood to directly affect each other rather than being caused…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-04 Sacha Epskamp , Eiko I. Fried

The wild bootstrap is a popular resampling method in the context of time-to-event data analyses. Previous works established the large sample properties of it for applications to different estimators and test statistics. It can be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Marina T. Dietrich , Dennis Dobler , Mathisca C. M. de Gunst

Boosting is a popular algorithm in supervised machine learning with wide applications in regression and classification problems. It combines weak learners, such as regression trees, to obtain accurate predictions. However, in the presence…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-06 Zhu Wang

Kaplan-Meier curves stratified by treatment allocation are the most popular way to depict causal effects in studies with right-censored time-to-event endpoints. If the treatment is randomly assigned and the sample size of the study is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-26 Robin Denz , Nina Timmesfeld

AI models are often evaluated based on their ability to predict the outcome of interest. However, in many AI for social impact applications, the presence of an intervention that affects the outcome can bias the evaluation. Randomized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Winston Chen , Michael W. Sjoding , Jenna Wiens

We consider the problem where a modeller conducts sensitivity analysis of a model consisting of random input factors, a corresponding random output of interest, and a baseline probability measure. The modeller seeks to understand how the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-01 Silvana M. Pesenti

A mediation analysis approach is proposed for multiple exposures, multiple mediators, and a continuous scalar outcome under the linear structural equation modeling framework. It assumes that there exist orthogonal components that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Yi Zhao

Social influence, sometimes referred to as spillover or contagion, have been extensively studied in various empirical social network research. However, there are various estimation challenges in identifying social influence effects, as they…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Ran Xu

Recent advances in computational methods for intractable models have made network data increasingly amenable to statistical analysis. Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) emerged as one of the main families of models capable of capturing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-07 Alberto Caimo , Lampros Bouranis , Robert Krause , Nial Friel

Mediation analysis is becoming an increasingly important tool in scientific studies. A central question in high-dimensional mediation analysis is to infer the significance of individual mediators. The main challenge is the sheer number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Chengchun Shi , Lexin Li

Randomized controlled trials are not only the golden standard in medicine and vaccine trials but have spread to many other disciplines like behavioral economics, making it an important interdisciplinary tool for scientists. When designing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Tassilo Schwarz

Due to their flexibility and superior performance, machine learning models frequently complement and outperform traditional statistical survival models. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by a lack of user-friendly tools to…

The linear regression model is widely used in the biomedical and social sciences as well as in policy and business research to adjust for covariates and estimate the average effects of treatments. Behind every causal inference endeavor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Noah Greifer , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Randomized experiments have become a cornerstone of evidence-based decision-making in contexts ranging from online platforms to public health. However, in experimental settings with network interference, a unit's treatment can influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Sadegh Shirani , Yuwei Luo , William Overman , Ruoxuan Xiong , Mohsen Bayati

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

Mediation analysis aims to separate the indirect effect through mediators from the direct effect of the exposure on the outcome. It is challenging to perform mediation analysis with neuroimaging data which involves high dimensionality,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Yuliang Xu , Timothy D Johnson , Mary Heitzeg , Jian Kang

Reciprocity--the tendency of individuals to form mutual ties--is a fundamental structural feature of many directed networks. Despite its ubiquity, reciprocity remains insufficiently integrated into statistical network models, particularly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Rui Feng , Chenlei Leng

It is shown how to set up, conduct, and analyze large simulation studies with the new R package simsalapar = simulations simplified and launched parallel. A simulation study typically starts with determining a collection of input variables…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-18 Marius Hofert , Martin Mächler

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is one of the most popular approaches for evaluating and comparing the accuracy of medical diagnostic tests. Although various methodologies have been developed for estimating ROC curves and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Ainesh Sewak , Torsten Hothorn