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We explore the striking mathematical connections that exist between market scoring rules, cost function based prediction markets, and no-regret learning. We show that any cost function based prediction market can be interpreted as an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-03-02 Yiling Chen , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

We consider off-policy evaluation and optimization with continuous action spaces. We focus on observational data where the data collection policy is unknown and needs to be estimated. We take a semi-parametric approach where the value…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-23 Mert Demirer , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Greg Lewis , Victor Chernozhukov

For incomplete preference relations that are represented by multiple priors and/or multiple -- possibly multivariate -- utility functions, we define a certainty equivalent as well as the utility buy and sell prices and indifference price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Birgit Rudloff , Firdevs Ulus

PAC-Bayesian bounds have proven to be a valuable tool for deriving generalization bounds and for designing new learning algorithms in machine learning. However, it typically focus on providing generalization bounds with respect to a chosen…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 The Tien Mai

The convex analytic method has proved to be a very versatile method for the study of infinite horizon average cost optimal stochastic control problems. In this paper, we revisit the convex analytic method and make three primary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Ari Arapostathis , Serdar Yüksel

We formalize and study the natural approach of designing convex surrogate loss functions via embeddings, for problems such as classification, ranking, or structured prediction. In this approach, one embeds each of the finitely many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Jessie Finocchiaro , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

We consider contextual bandits with knapsacks, with an underlying structure between rewards generated and cost vectors suffered. We do so motivated by sales with commercial discounts. At each round, given the stochastic i.i.d.\ context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Zhen Li , Gilles Stoltz

We introduce a new surrogate loss function called orbit loss in the structured prediction framework, which has good theoretical and practical advantages. While the orbit loss is not convex, it has a simple analytical gradient and a simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-10 Danny Karmon , Joseph Keshet

The geometric problem of estimating an unknown compact convex set from evaluations of its support function arises in a range of scientific and engineering applications. Traditional approaches typically rely on estimators that minimize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Yong Sheng Soh , Venkat Chandrasekaran

How do we assign value to economic transactions? To answer this question, we must consider whether the value of objects is inherent, is a product of social interaction, or involves other mechanisms. Economic theory predicts that there is an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-28 Bradly Alicea

We propose an estimator and confidence interval for computing the value of a policy from off-policy data in the contextual bandit setting. To this end we apply empirical likelihood techniques to formulate our estimator and confidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Nikos Karampatziakis , John Langford , Paul Mineiro

In this article, we propose a data-enabled economic predictive control method for a class of nonlinear systems, which aims to optimize the economic operational performance while handling hard constraints on the system outputs. Two lifting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Mingxue Yan , Xuewen Zhang , Kaixiang Zhang , Zhaojian Li , Xunyuan Yin

We introduce convex function intervals (CFIs): families of convex functions satisfying given level and slope constraints. CFIs naturally arise as constraint sets in economic design, including problems with type-dependent participation…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-27 Victor Augias , Lina Uhe

This article considers nonconvex global optimization problems subject to uncertainties described by continuous random variables. Such problems arise in chemical process design, renewable energy systems, stochastic model predictive control,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Yuanxun Shao , Joseph Kirk Scott

Consider a classification problem where we have both labeled and unlabeled data available. We show that for linear classifiers defined by convex margin-based surrogate losses that are decreasing, it is impossible to construct any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-09 Jesse H. Krijthe , Marco Loog

This paper presents a family of algorithms for decentralized convex composite problems. We consider the setting of a network of agents that cooperatively minimize a global objective function composed of a sum of local functions plus a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Yichuan Li , Petros G. Voulgaris , Dusan M. Stipanovic , Nikolaos M. Freris

Off-policy evaluation of sequential decision policies from observational data is necessary in applications of batch reinforcement learning such as education and healthcare. In such settings, however, unobserved variables confound observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Nathan Kallus , Angela Zhou

We study the problem of contextual online bilateral trade. At each round, the learner faces a seller-buyer pair and must propose a trade price without observing their private valuations for the item being sold. The goal of the learner is to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Emanuele Coccia , Martino Bernasconi , Andrea Celli

Commonly used classification algorithms in machine learning, such as support vector machines, minimize a convex surrogate loss on training examples. In practice, these algorithms are surprisingly robust to errors in the training data. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Kunal Talwar

The theory of convex risk functions has now been well established as the basis for identifying the families of risk functions that should be used in risk averse optimization problems. Despite its theoretical appeal, the implementation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li
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