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Early Time-Series Classification (ETSC) is the task of predicting the class of incoming time-series by observing as few measurements as possible. Such methods can be employed to obtain classification forecasts in many time-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Charilaos Akasiadis , Evgenios Kladis , Evangelos Michelioudakis , Elias Alevizos , Alexander Artikis

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

Generalising the idea of the classical EM algorithm that is widely used for computing maximum likelihood estimates, we propose an EM-Control (EM-C) algorithm for solving multi-period finite time horizon stochastic control problems. The new…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Steven Kou , Xianhua Peng , Xingbo Xu

External controls (ECs) from historical trials or real-world data have gained increasing attention as a way to augment hybrid and single-arm trials, especially when balanced randomization is infeasible. While most existing work has focused…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Yujing Gao , Xiang Zhang , Shu Yang

Clinical randomized controlled trials (RCTs) collect hundreds of measurements spanning various metric types (e.g., laboratory tests, cognitive/motor assessments, etc.) across 100s-1000s of subjects to evaluate the effect of a treatment, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Sayeri Lala , Niraj K. Jha

Continuous-time Markov chains are mathematical models that are used to describe the state-evolution of dynamical systems under stochastic uncertainty, and have found widespread applications in various fields. In order to make these models…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

The optimal control of epidemic-like stochastic processes is important both historically and for emerging applications today, where it can be especially important to include time-varying parameters that impact viral epidemic-like…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Yingdong Lu , Mark S. Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

Energy harvesting battery-free embedded devices rely only on ambient energy harvesting that enables stand-alone and sustainable IoT applications. These devices execute programs when the harvested ambient energy in their energy reservoir is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Ferhat Erata , Arda Goknil , Eren Yıldız , Kasım Sinan Yıldırım , Ruzica Piskac , Jakub Szefer , Gökçin Sezgin

We present the observation that the process of stochastic model predictive control can be formulated in the framework of iterated function systems. The latter has a rich ergodic theory that can be applied to study the system's long-run…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Jakub Marecek , Robert Shorten

Chance constraints are widely used in stochastic model predictive control (MPC) to enforce probabilistic state and input constraints in the presence of unbounded disturbances. However, they only restrict violation probabilities and do not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jonas Schießl , Ruchuan Ou , Michael H. Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

We investigate control of a non-linear process when communication and processing capabilities are limited. The sensor communicates with a controller node through an erasure channel which introduces i.i.d. packet dropouts. Processor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Daniel E. Quevedo , Vijay Gupta , Wann-Jiun Ma , Serdar Yuksel

Controlling complex dynamical systems has been a topic of considerable interest in academic circles in recent decades. While existing works have primarily focused on closed-loop control schemes with infinite-time durations, this paper…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Xiaoxiao Peng , Shijie Zhou

Stochastic models such as Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMC) and Stochastic Hybrid Automata (SHA) are powerful formalisms to model and to reason about the dynamics of biological systems, due to their ability to capture the stochasticity…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi , Laura Nenzi , Guido Sanguinetti

The requirement for continual improvement of idle speed control (ISC) performance is increasing due to the stringent regulation on emission and fuel economy these days. In this regard, a low-complexity offset-free explicit model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-15 Sang Hwan Son , Se-Kyu Oh , Byung Jun Park , Min Jun Song , Jong Min Lee

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

In the study of dynamical processes on networks, there has been intense focus on network structure -- i.e., the arrangement of edges and their associated weights -- but the effects of the temporal patterns of edges remains poorly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Till Hoffmann , Mason A. Porter , Renaud Lambiotte

Electroconvulsive Therapy (ECT) is arguably the most effective intervention for treatment-resistant depression. While large interindividual variability exists, a theory capable of predicting individual response to ECT remains elusive. To…

This paper deals with an event-triggered boundary control of constant-parameters reaction-diffusion PDE systems. The approach relies on the emulation of backstepping control along with a suitable triggering condition which establishes the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-24 Nicolas Espitia , Iasson Karafyllis , Miroslav Krstic

This paper investigates the combination of model predictive control (MPC) concepts and posterior sampling techniques and proposes a simple constraint tightening technique to introduce cautiousness during explorative learning episodes. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-22 Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We study the consistency of stochastic dynamic programs under converging probability distributions and other approximations. Utilizing results on the epi-convergence of expectation functions with varying measures and integrands, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Johannes O. Royset