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Selecting input variables or design points for statistical models has been of great interest in adaptive design and active learning. Motivated by two scientific examples, this paper presents a strategy of selecting the design points for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Chiwoo Park , Peihua Qiu , Jennifer Carpena-Núñez , Rahul Rao , Michael Susner , Benji Maruyama

Extreme value theory (EVT) is well suited to model extreme events, such as floods, heatwaves, or mechanical failures, which is required for reliability assessment of systems across multiple domains for risk management and loss prevention.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-15 Shehzaib Irfan , Nabeel Ahmad , Alexander Vinel , Daniel F. Silva , Shuai Shao , Nima Shamsaei , Jia Liu

Background: Adaptive interventions provide a guide for using ongoing information about individuals to decide whether and how to modify the type, amount, delivery modality, or timing of treatment, to improve intervention effectiveness while…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 John J. Dziak , Inbal Nahum-Shani

This paper proposes a predefined-time (PDT) neurodynamic approach with time-varying coefficients for solving mixed variational inequality problems (MVIs). A class of first-order proximal neurodynamic models is developed to guarantee…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Vajahat Karim Khan , Md. Kalimuddin Ahmad

This project considers how one might augment a limited amount of data from randomized controlled trial (RCT) with more plentiful data from an observational database (ODB), in order to estimate a causal effect. In our motivating setting, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Evan Rosenman , Art B. Owen , Michael Baiocchi , Hailey Banack

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

We consider robust optimal experimental design (ROED) for nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). An optimal design is one that maximizes some utility quantifying the quality of the solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Abhijit Chowdhary , Ahmed Attia , Alen Alexanderian

A popular method for estimating a causal treatment effect with observational data is the difference-in-differences (DiD) model. In this work, we consider an extension of the classical DiD setting to the hierarchical context in which data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-17 James Normington , Eric F. Lock , Thomas A. Murray , Caroline S. Carlin

Augmenting randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with external real-world data (RWD) has the potential to improve the finite sample efficiency of treatment effect estimators. We describe using adaptive targeted maximum likelihood estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Sky Qiu , Jens Tarp , Andrew Mertens , Mark van der Laan

Variable selection for optimal treatment regime in a clinical trial or an observational study is getting more attention. Most existing variable selection techniques focused on selecting variables that are important for prediction, therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-22 Ailin Fan , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

To increase statistical efficiency in a randomized experiment, researchers often use stratification (i.e., blocking) in the design stage. However, conventional practices of stratification fail to exploit valuable information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Zikai Li

Optimal dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs), as a key part of precision medicine, have progressively gained more attention recently. To inform clinical decision making, interpretable and parsimonious models for contrast functions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Chunyu Wang , Brian Tom

The Doubly Robust (DR) estimation of ATE can be carried out in 2 steps, where in the first step, the treatment and outcome are modeled, and in the second step the predictions are inserted into the DR estimator. The model misspecification in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Mehdi Rostami , Olli Saarela , Michael Escobar

Data from both a randomized trial and an observational study are sometimes simultaneously available for evaluating the effect of an intervention. The randomized data typically allows for reliable estimation of average treatment effects but…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 David Cheng , Tianxi Cai

We study stochastic programs where the decision-maker cannot observe the distribution of the exogenous uncertainties but has access to a finite set of independent samples from this distribution. In this setting, the goal is to find a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Bart P. G. Van Parys , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Daniel Kuhn

Robust topology optimization (RTO), as a class of topology optimization problems, identifies a design with the best average performance while reducing the response sensitivity to input uncertainties, e.g. load uncertainty. Solving RTO is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Rini Jasmine Gladstone , Mohammad Amin Nabian , Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Hadi Meidani

This paper studies a tensor-structured linear regression model with a scalar response variable and tensor-structured predictors, such that the regression parameters form a tensor of order $d$ (i.e., a $d$-fold multiway array) in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Talal Ahmed , Haroon Raja , Waheed U. Bajwa

Synthesizing information from multiple data sources is crucial for constructing accurate individualized treatment rules (ITRs). However, privacy concerns often present significant barriers to the integrative analysis of such multi-source…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Nan Qiao , Wangcheng Li , Jingxiao Zhang , Canyi Chen

We propose an adaptive design for early phase drug combination cancer trials with the goal of estimating the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). A nonparametric Bayesian model, using beta priors truncated to the set of partially ordered dose…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Zahra S. Razaee , Galen Wien-Cook , Mourad Tighiouart

This paper considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, where the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when we only know that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Yoshihiro Kanno