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Monte Carlo methods, Variational Inference, and their combinations play a pivotal role in sampling from intractable probability distributions. However, current studies lack a unified evaluation framework, relying on disparate performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Denis Blessing , Xiaogang Jia , Johannes Esslinger , Francisco Vargas , Gerhard Neumann

We introduce and compare computational techniques for sharp extreme event probability estimates in stochastic differential equations with small additive Gaussian noise. In particular, we focus on strategies that are scalable, i.e. their…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-27 Timo Schorlepp , Shanyin Tong , Tobias Grafke , Georg Stadler

We present a technique for approximating generic normalization constants subject to constraints. The method is then applied to derive the exact asymptotics for the conditional normalization constant of constrained exponential random graphs.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Mei Yin

The problem of individualized prediction can be addressed using variants of conformal prediction, obtaining the intervals to which the actual values of the variables of interest belong. Here we present a method based on detecting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Fernando Delbianco , Fernando Tohmé

We describe a variational approximation method for efficient inference in large-scale probabilistic models. Variational methods are deterministic procedures that provide approximations to marginal and conditional probabilities of interest.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-30 T. S. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

We give an overview of basic methods that can be used for obtaining asymptotic expansions of integrals: Watson's lemma, Laplace's method, the saddle point method, and the method of stationary phase. Certain developments in the field of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-08-08 Nico M. Temme

The continuous extension of a discrete random variable is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of multivariate normal copula-based models with discrete margins. Its advantage is that the likelihood can be derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

This work unifies the analysis of various randomized methods for solving linear and nonlinear inverse problems by framing the problem in a stochastic optimization setting. By doing so, we show that many randomized methods are variants of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Jonathan Wittmer , C. G. Krishnanunni , Hai V. Nguyen , Tan Bui-Thanh

We use new bounds of double exponential sums with ratios of integers from prescribed intervals to get an asymptotic formula for the number of solutions to congruences $$ \sum_{j=1}^n a_j x_jy_j^{-1} \equiv a_0 \pmod p, $$ with variables…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-12 Igor E. Shparlinski

We derive inferential procedures for large sample sizes that remain valid under data-dependent significance levels (so-called "post-hoc valid inference"). Classical statistical tools require that the significance level -- the "type-I error"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ben Chugg , Etienne Gauthier , Michael I. Jordan , Aaditya Ramdas , Ian Waudby-Smith

In this paper we introduce a method of characteristic sets with respect to several term orderings for difference-differential polynomials. Using this technique, we obtain a method of computation of multivariate dimension polynomials of…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2013-02-07 Alexander Levin

We develop our previous works concerning the identification of the collection of significant factors determining some, in general, non-binary random response variable. Such identification is important, e.g., in biological and medical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-05 Alexander V. Bulinski , Alexander S. Rakitko

Several asymptotic expansions and formulas for cubic exponential sums are derived. The expansions are most useful when the cubic coefficient is in a restricted range. This generalizes previous results in the quadratic case and helps to…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Ghaith A. Hiary

Methods of solving big Boolean equations can be broadly classified as algebraic, tabular, numerical and map methods. The most prominent among these classes are the algebraic and map methods. This paper surveys and compares these two types…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Ali Muhammad Ali Rushdi

Exact formulas are derived for the probability density functions of the sum and difference of two independent non-central gamma distributed random variables, with both series and integral representations of the density presented. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Robert E. Gaunt , Heather L. Sutcliffe

In this survey we describe some modifications of Prony's method. In particular, we consider the recovery of general expansions into eigenfunctions of linear differential operators of first order and show, how these expansions can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ingeborg Keller , Gerlind Plonka

Given the first 20-100 coefficients of a typical generating function of the type that arises in many problems of statistical mechanics or enumerative combinatorics, we show that the method of differential approximants performs surprisingly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-12 Anthony J Guttmann

The problem of extrapolating the series in powers of small variables to the region of large variables is addressed. Such a problem is typical of quantum theory and statistical physics. A method of extrapolation is developed based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. I. Yukalov , S. Gluzman

The restricted maximum likelihood method enhances popularity of maximum likelihood methods for variance component analysis on large scale unbalanced data. As the high throughput biological data sets and the emerged science on uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Shengxin Zhu , Andrew J Wathen

We reveal a connection between the incompressibility method and the Lovasz local lemma in the context of Ramsey theory. We obtain bounds by repeatedly encoding objects of interest and thereby compressing strings. The method is demonstrated…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-04-07 Pascal Schweitzer
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