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Machine learning in asset pricing typically predicts expected returns as point estimates, ignoring uncertainty. We develop new methods to construct forecast confidence intervals for expected returns obtained from neural networks. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Linda Schilling

Accurate prediction of house price, a vital aspect of the residential real estate sector, is of substantial interest for a wide range of stakeholders. However, predicting house prices is a complex task due to the significant variability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Md Hasebul Hasan , Md Abid Jahan , Mohammed Eunus Ali , Yuan-Fang Li , Timos Sellis

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

Financial stock returns correlations have been studied in the prism of random matrix theory, to distinguish the signal from the "noise". Eigenvalues of the matrix that are above the rescaled Marchenko Pastur distribution can be interpreted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Ixandra Achitouv

Stock trend classification remains a fundamental yet challenging task, owing to the intricate time-evolving dynamics between and within stocks. To tackle these two challenges, we propose a graph-based representation learning approach aimed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-17 Zinuo You , Pengju Zhang , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

Labeled property graphs often contain rich textual attributes that can enhance analytical tasks when properly leveraged. This work explores the use of pretrained text embedding models to enable efficient semantic analysis in such graphs. By…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Michal Podstawski

Identifying similar mutual funds with respect to the underlying portfolios has found many applications in financial services ranging from fund recommender systems, competitors analysis, portfolio analytics, marketing and sales, etc. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Vipul Satone , Dhruv Desai , Dhagash Mehta

We present a novel and effective technique for performing text coherence tasks while facilitating deeper insights into the data. Despite obtaining ever-increasing task performance, modern deep-learning approaches to NLP tasks often only…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Tanner Bohn , Yining Hu , Jinhang Zhang , Charles X. Ling

While word embeddings are currently predominant for natural language processing, most of existing models learn them solely from their contexts. However, these context-based word embeddings are limited since not all words' meaning can be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-08-23 Jifan Chen , Kan Chen , Xipeng Qiu , Qi Zhang , Xuanjing Huang , Zheng Zhang

This paper integrates deep neural networks (DNNs) into structural economic models to increase flexibility and capture rich heterogeneity while preserving interpretability. Economic structure and machine learning are complements in empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Max H. Farrell , Tengyuan Liang , Sanjog Misra

The meaning of a word often varies depending on its usage in different domains. The standard word embedding models struggle to represent this variation, as they learn a single global representation for a word. We propose a method to learn…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Lahari Poddar , Gyorgy Szarvas , Lea Frermann

We present a novel technique for learning semantic representations, which extends the distributional hypothesis to multilingual data and joint-space embeddings. Our models leverage parallel data and learn to strongly align the embeddings of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2014-04-21 Karl Moritz Hermann , Phil Blunsom

Stock market prediction is one of the most attractive research topic since the successful prediction on the market's future movement leads to significant profit. Traditional short term stock market predictions are usually based on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-16 Huicheng Liu

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

Data augmentation methods in combination with deep neural networks have been used extensively in computer vision on classification tasks, achieving great success; however, their use in time series classification is still at an early stage.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-29 Elizabeth Fons , Paula Dawson , Xiao-jun Zeng , John Keane , Alexandros Iosifidis

Much research has been done to analyze the stock market. After all, if one can determine a pattern in the chaotic frenzy of transactions, then they could make a hefty profit from capitalizing on these insights. As such, the goal of our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Ziyi Zhou , Nicholas Stern , Julien Laasri

Predicting stock prices presents a challenging research problem due to the inherent volatility and non-linear nature of the stock market. In recent years, knowledge-enhanced stock price prediction methods have shown groundbreaking results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-10 Liping Wang , Jiawei Li , Lifan Zhao , Zhizhuo Kou , Xiaohan Wang , Xinyi Zhu , Hao Wang , Yanyan Shen , Lei Chen

Financial prediction from long documents involves significant challenges, as actionable signals are often sparse and obscured by noise, and the optimal LLM for generating embeddings varies across tasks and time periods. In this paper, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Zirui He , Huopu Zhang , Yanguang Liu , Sirui Wu , Mengnan Du

We discuss and analyze a neural network architecture, that enables learning a model class for a set of different data samples rather than just learning a single model for a specific data sample. In this sense, it may help to reduce the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Daniel Oeltz , Jan Hamaekers , Kay F. Pilz

Forecasting future stock trends remains challenging for academia and industry due to stochastic inter-stock dynamics and hierarchical intra-stock dynamics influencing stock prices. In recent years, graph neural networks have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Zinuo You , Zijian Shi , Hongbo Bo , John Cartlidge , Li Zhang , Yan Ge