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Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

Least-squares fits are an important tool in many data analysis applications. In this paper, we review theoretical results, which are relevant for their application to data from counting experiments. Using a simple example, we illustrate the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-07 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling , Roland Waldi

A composite likelihood is an inference function derived by multiplying a set of likelihood components. This approach provides a flexible framework for drawing inference when the likelihood function of a statistical model is computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Giuseppe Alfonzetti , Ruggero Bellio , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

Motivation: Spontaneous adverse event reports have a high potential for detecting adverse drug reactions. However, due to their dimension, exploring such databases requires statistical methods. In this context, disproportionality measures…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Matthieu Marbac , Pascale Tubert-Bitter , Mohammed Sedki

This paper introduces a new biased estimator for the negative binomial regression model that is a generalization of Liu-type estimator proposed for the linear model in [12]. Since the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-11 Yasin Asar

Predictive models often reinforce biases which were originally embedded in their training data, through skewed decisions. In such cases, mitigation methods are critical to ensure that, regardless of the prevailing disparities, model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-15 Ricardo Inácio , Zafeiris Kokkinogenis , Vitor Cerqueira , Carlos Soares

Separation in logistic regression is a common problem causing failure of the iterative estimation process when finding maximum likelihood estimates. Firth's correction (FC) was proposed as a solution, providing estimates also in presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Hana Šinkovec , Angelika Geroldinger , Georg Heinze , Rok Blagus

This paper develops a new approach to post-selection inference for screening high-dimensional predictors of survival outcomes. Post-selection inference for right-censored outcome data has been investigated in the literature, but much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Tzu-Jung Huang , Alex Luedtke , Ian W. McKeague

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

Generalized linear mixed models are useful in studying hierarchical data with possibly non-Gaussian responses. However, the intractability of likelihood functions poses challenges for estimation. We develop a new method suitable for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan

We propose a new method for conducting Bayesian prediction that delivers accurate predictions without correctly specifying the unknown true data generating process. A prior is defined over a class of plausible predictive models. After…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

Data analysis based on information from several sources is common in economic and biomedical studies. This setting is often referred to as the data fusion problem, which differs from traditional missing data problems since no complete data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Wei Li , Shanshan Luo , Wangli Xu

Logistic regression is a widely used statistical model to describe the relationship between a binary response variable and predictor variables in data sets. It is often used in machine learning to identify important predictor variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Jérôme Darbon , Gabriel P. Langlois

Predicting with missing inputs challenges even parametric models, as parameter estimation alone is insufficient for prediction on incomplete data. While several works study prediction in linear models, we focus on logistic models, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Christophe Muller , Erwan Scornet , Julie Josse

This paper studies posterior contraction rates in multi-category logit models with priors incorporating group sparse structures. We consider a general class of logit models that includes the well-known multinomial logit models as a special…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Seonghyun Jeong

A fundamental task in numerical computation is the solution of large linear systems. The conjugate gradient method is an iterative method which offers rapid convergence to the solution, particularly when an effective preconditioner is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Ilse Ipsen , Mark Girolami

This paper studies statistical aggregation procedures in regression setting. A motivating factor is the existence of many different methods of estimation, leading to possibly competing estimators. We consider here three different types of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Florentina Bunea , Alexandre Tsybakov , Marten Wegkamp

In this paper, we propose a novel factor-augmented forecasting regression model with a binary response variable. We develop a maximum likelihood estimation method for the regression parameters and establish the asymptotic properties of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Tingting Cheng , Jiachen Cong , Fei Liu , Xuanbin Yang

We present a general method for deriving collapsed variational inference algo- rithms for probabilistic models in the conjugate exponential family. Our method unifies many existing approaches to collapsed variational inference. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-05 James Hensman , Magnus Rattray , Neil D. Lawrence

Comparison data arises in many important contexts, e.g. shopping, web clicks, or sports competitions. Typically we are given a dataset of comparisons and wish to train a model to make predictions about the outcome of unseen comparisons. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-25 Stephen Ragain , Alexander Peysakhovich , Johan Ugander
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