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A numerical framework for the 'real-time' estimation of the infection risk from airborne diseases (e.g., SARS-CoV-2) in indoor spaces such as hospitals, restaurants, cinemas or teaching rooms is proposed. The developed model is based on the…

In this paper, we derive an effective model for transport processes in periodically perforated elastic media, taking into account, e.g., cyclic elastic deformations as they occur in lung tissue due to respiratory movement. The underlying…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Jonas Knoch , Markus Gahn , Maria Neuss-Radu , Nicolas Neuß

We develop a spatially dependent generalisation to the Wells-Riley model and its extensions applied to COVID-19, that determines the infection risk due to airborne transmission of viruses. We assume that the concentration of infectious…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Zechariah Lau , Ian M. Griffiths , Aaron English , Katerina Kaouri

A diffusive epidemic model with an infection-dependent recovery rate is formulated in this paper. Multiple constant steady states and spatially homogeneous periodic solutions are first proven by bifurcation analysis of the reaction…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Wael El Khateeb , Chanaka Kottegoda , Chunhua Shan

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

This paper concerns the propagation of particles through a quenched random medium. In the one- and two-dimensional models considered, the local dynamics is given by expanding circle maps and hyperbolic toral automorphisms, respectively. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-10-18 Tapio Simula , Mikko Stenlund

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

In this paper we study a mathematical model for an infectious disease such as Cholera without life-time immunity. Due to the different mobility for susceptible, infected human and recovered human hosts, the diffusion coefficients are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Hong-Ming Yin

This paper gives an introduction to rule-based modelling applied to topics in infectious diseases. Rule-based models generalise reaction-based models with reagents that have internal state and may be bound together to form complexes, as in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-10 William Waites , Matteo Cavaliere , David Manheim , Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths , Vincent Danos

The appearance of the coronavirus (COVID-19) in late 2019 has dominated the news in the last few months as it developed into a pandemic. In many mathematics and physics classrooms, instructors are using the time series of the number of…

Physics Education · Physics 2020-07-24 Paulo H. Acioli

Forecasting transmission of infectious diseases, especially for vector-borne diseases, poses unique challenges for researchers. Behaviors of and interactions between viruses, vectors, hosts, and the environment each play a part in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Stephen A Lauer , Alexandria C Brown , Nicholas G Reich

We present a conditional diffusion model - ConDiSim, for simulation-based inference of complex systems with intractable likelihoods. ConDiSim leverages denoising diffusion probabilistic models to approximate posterior distributions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Mayank Nautiyal , Andreas Hellander , Prashant Singh

Virtual fixtures assist human operators in teleoperation settings by constraining their actions. This extended abstract introduces a novel virtual fixture formulation \emph{on surfaces} for tactile robotics tasks. Unlike existing methods,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Cem Bilaloglu , Tobias Löw , Sylvain Calinon

The temporal dynamics of social interactions were shown to influence the spread of disease. Here, we model the conditions of progression and competition for several viral strains, exploring various levels of cross-immunity over temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-14 Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

Simulating the spread of infectious diseases in human communities is critical for predicting the trajectory of an epidemic and verifying various policies to control the devastating impacts of the outbreak. Many existing simulators are based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-22 Arash Mehrjou , Ashkan Soleymani , Amin Abyaneh , Samir Bhatt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

There has been an increasing recognition of the utility of models of the spatial dynamics of viral spread within tissues. Multicellular models, where cells are represented as discrete regions of space coupled to a virus density surface, are…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-02 Thomas Williams , James McCaw , James Osborne

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

This work aims to assess the risks of Covid-19 disease spread in diverse daily-life situations (referred to as scenarios) involving crowds of maskless pedestrians, mostly outdoors. More concretely, we develop a method to infer the global…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-04 Willy Garcia , Simon Mendez , Baptiste Fray , Alexandre Nicolas

The viral load is known to be a chief predictor of the risk of transmission of infectious diseases. In this work, we investigate the role of the individuals' viral load in the disease transmission by proposing a new…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-29 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin