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Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

The statistics obtained from turbulent flow simulations are generally uncertain due to finite time averaging. The techniques available in the literature to accurately estimate these uncertainties typically only work in an offline mode, that…

Uncertainties from model parameters and model discrepancy from small-scale models impact the accuracy and reliability of predictions of large-scale systems. Inadequate representation of these uncertainties may result in inaccurate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-18 K. Sham Bhat , David S. Mebane , Curtis B. Storlie , Priyadarshi Mahapatra

Atmospheric turbulence poses a significant challenge to the performance of object detection models. Turbulence causes distortions, blurring, and noise in images by bending and scattering light rays due to variations in the refractive index…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Engin Uzun , Erdem Akagunduz

Groundwater flow modeling is commonly used to calculate groundwater heads, estimate groundwater flow paths and travel times, and provide insights into solute transport processes within an aquifer. However, the values of input parameters…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Emily A. Baker , Sauro Manenti , Alessandro Reali , Giancarlo Sangalli , Lorenzo Tamellini , Sara Todeschini

We present a Bayesian model calibration framework for inferring nonlinear constitutive relationships in heat conduction problems, with a focus on temperature-dependent thermal conductivity. The proposed framework integrates gradient-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Clemens Verhoosel , Erik Quarghebeur

Machine learning methods for computational imaging require uncertainty estimation to be reliable in real settings. While Bayesian models offer a computationally tractable way of recovering uncertainty, they need large data volumes to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Francesco Tonolini , Jack Radford , Alex Turpin , Daniele Faccio , Roderick Murray-Smith

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for probabilistic reasoning. If inference is performed in two steps, uncertainty propagation plays a crucial role in accounting for all sources of uncertainty and variability. This becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Svenja Jedhoff , Hadi Kutabi , Anne Meyer , Paul-Christian Bürkner

The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-14 Xun Huan , Cosmin Safta , Khachik Sargsyan , Gianluca Geraci , Michael S. Eldred , Zachary P. Vane , Guilhem Lacaze , Joseph C. Oefelein , Habib N. Najm

Deep learning-based surrogate models have demonstrated remarkable advantages over classical solvers in terms of speed, often achieving speedups of 10 to 1000 times over traditional partial differential equation (PDE) solvers. However, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Tailin Wu , Willie Neiswanger , Hongtao Zheng , Stefano Ermon , Jure Leskovec

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

Turbulence-degraded image frames are distorted by both turbulent deformations and space-time-varying blurs. To suppress these effects, we propose a multi-frame reconstruction scheme to recover a latent image from the observed image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Chun Pong Lau , Yu Hin Lai , Lok Ming Lui

Many real-world applications demand accurate and fast predictions, as well as reliable uncertainty estimates. However, quantifying uncertainty on high-dimensional predictions is still a severely under-investigated problem, especially when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Saurabh Deshpande , Hussein Rappel , Mark Hobbs , Stéphane P. A. Bordas , Jakub Lengiewicz

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Data-driven techniques have improved the accuracy of Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models in fluid dynamics. However, modeling separated flows remains challenging due to their complex physics and sensitivity to local conditions.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-19 Ali Eidi , Tyler Buchanan , Letian Jiang , Richard P. Dwight

Aerodynamic optimization is ubiquitous in the design of most engineering systems interacting with fluids. A common approach is to optimize a performance function defined by a choice of an aerodynamic model, e.g., turbulence RANS model, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Lluís Jofre , Alireza Doostan

Several machine learning frameworks for augmenting turbulence closure models have been recently proposed. However, the generalizability of an augmented turbulence model remains an open question. We investigate this question by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-22 Ryley McConkey , Eugene Yee , Fue-Sang Lien

In computational fluid dynamics simulations of industrial flows, models based on the Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) equations are expected to play an important role in decades to come. However, model uncertainties are still a major…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-01 Heng Xiao , Paola Cinnella

In order to achieve a virtual certification process and robust designs for turbomachinery, the uncertainty bounds for Computational Fluid Dynamics have to be known. The formulation of turbulence closure models implies a major source of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Marcel Matha , Karsten Kucharczyk , Christian Morsbach

Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models are widely used for turbulent flow simulations due to their computational efficiency, but their accuracy strongly depends on the selected turbulence closure and may vary across the flow domain.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Piero Zappi , Anna Ivagnes , Niccolò Tonicello , Gianluigi Rozza
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