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Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu

Neural networks (NNs) can achieved high performance in various fields such as computer vision, and natural language processing. However, deploying NNs in resource-constrained safety-critical systems has challenges due to uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed

Hierarchical classification offers an approach to incorporate the concept of mistake severity by leveraging a structured, labeled hierarchy. However, decoding in such settings frequently relies on heuristic decision rules, which may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Roman Plaud , Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Matthieu Labeau , Antoine Saillenfest , Thomas Bonald

Most modern neural networks for classification fail to take into account the concept of the unknown. Trained neural networks are usually tested in an unrealistic scenario with only examples from a closed set of known classes. In an attempt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Justin Leo , Jugal Kalita

Reliably quantifying the confidence of deep neural classifiers is a challenging yet fundamental requirement for deploying such models in safety-critical applications. In this paper, we introduce a novel target criterion for model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Charles Corbière , Nicolas Thome , Antoine Saporta , Tuan-Hung Vu , Matthieu Cord , Patrick Pérez

Neural networks for automated image segmentation are typically trained to achieve maximum accuracy, while less attention has been given to the calibration of their confidence scores. However, well-calibrated confidence scores provide…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Axel-Jan Rousseau , Thijs Becker , Jeroen Bertels , Matthew B. Blaschko , Dirk Valkenborg

Hypothesis testing is an important problem with applications in target localization, clinical trials etc. Many active hypothesis testing strategies operate in two phases: an exploration phase and a verification phase. In the exploration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Dhruva Kartik , Ashutosh Nayyar , Urbashi Mitra

The feasibility pump algorithm is an efficient primal heuristic for finding feasible solutions to mixed-integer programming problems. The algorithm suffers mainly from fast convergence to local optima. In this paper, we investigate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Nicolas Pradignac , Maliheh Aramon , Helmut G. Katzgraber

We propose a framework, called neural-progressive hedging (NP), that leverages stochastic programming during the online phase of executing a reinforcement learning (RL) policy. The goal is to ensure feasibility with respect to constraints…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Supriyo Ghosh , Laura Wynter , Shiau Hong Lim , Duc Thien Nguyen

This paper considers metric spaces where distances between a pair of nodes are represented by distance intervals. The goal is to study methods for the determination of hierarchical clusters, i.e., a family of nested partitions indexed by a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-17 Weiyu Huang , Alejandro Ribeiro

Neural networks have demonstrated considerable success on a wide variety of real-world problems. However, networks trained only to optimize for training accuracy can often be fooled by adversarial examples - slightly perturbed inputs that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Vincent Tjeng , Kai Xiao , Russ Tedrake

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

We consider the problem of inference on the signs of $n>1$ parameters. We aim to provide $1-\alpha$ post-hoc confidence bounds on the number of positive and negative (or non-positive) parameters. The guarantee is simultaneous, for all…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Ruth Heller , Aldo Solari

We present a general framework for applying learning algorithms and heuristical guidance to the verification of Markov decision processes (MDPs). The primary goal of our techniques is to improve performance by avoiding an exhaustive…

Simultaneous inference allows for the exploration of data while deciding on criteria for proclaiming discoveries. It was recently proved that all admissible post-hoc inference methods for true discoveries must employ closed testing. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Jinjin Tian , Xu Chen , Eugene Katsevich , Jelle Goeman , Aaditya Ramdas

Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to improve the performance of a process by selectively triggering interventions at runtime (e.g., offering a discount to a customer) to increase the probability of a desired case outcome (e.g., a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

We study the computational cost of differential privacy in terms of memory efficiency. While the trade-off between accuracy and differential privacy is well-understood, the inherent cost of privacy regarding memory use remains largely…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Alessandro Epasto , Xin Lyu , Pasin Manurangsi

This paper investigates the post-hoc calibration of confidence for "exploratory" machine learning classification problems. The difficulty in these problems stems from the continuing desire to push the boundaries of which categories have…

In many applications, it is desirable that a classifier not only makes accurate predictions, but also outputs calibrated posterior probabilities. However, many existing classifiers, especially deep neural network classifiers, tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-24 Xingchen Ma , Matthew B. Blaschko

How can we train agents to navigate uncertainty over long horizons? In this work, we propose {\Delta}Belief-RL, which leverages a language model's own intrinsic beliefs to reward intermediate progress. Our method utilizes the change in the…