Related papers: Noise correction of large deviations with anomalou…
This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…
We study the instanton effects of the ABJM partition function using the Fermi gas formalism. We compute the exact values of the partition function at the Chern-Simons levels k=1,2,3,4,6 up to N=44,20,18,16,14 respectively, and extract…
We develop a new method for bounding the relative entropy of a random vector in terms of its Stein factors. Our approach is based on a novel representation for the score function of smoothly perturbed random variables, as well as on the de…
Consider the following three important problems in statistical inference, namely, constructing confidence intervals for (1) the error of a high-dimensional ($p>n$) regression estimator, (2) the linear regression noise level, and (3) the…
In this study, we generalize a problem of sampling a scalar Gauss Markov Process, namely, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, where the samples are sent to a remote estimator and the estimator makes a causal estimate of the observed…
Langevin simulation provides an effective way to study collisional effects in beams by reducing the six-dimensional Fokker-Planck equation to a group of stochastic ordinary differential equations. These resulting equations usually have…
We consider a $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued branching random walk with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$. With the help of the…
This paper revisits the problem of estimating the fractional Ornstein - Uhlenbeck process observed in a linear channel with white noise of small intensity. We drive the exact asymptotic formulas for the mean square errors of the filtering…
We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…
For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…
We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…
We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…
We study parametric estimation of ergodic diffusions observed at high frequency. Different from the previous studies, we suppose that sampling stepsize is unknown, thereby making the conventional Gaussian quasi-likelihood not directly…
We study using large deviation theory the fluctuations of time-integrated functionals or observables of the unbiased random walk evolving on Erd\"os-R\'enyi random graphs, and construct a modified, biased random walk that explains how these…
In this work, we are concerned with existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for path-dependent random diffusions and their time discretizations. The random diffusion here means a diffusion process living in a random environment…
The purpose of this study is to provide a new methodology of how one can consistently estimate a change-point in time series data. In contrast with previous studies, the suggested methodology employs only the empirical spectral density and…
In this article we prove large deviations principles for high minima of Gaussian processes with nonnegatively correlated increments on arbitrary intervals. Furthermore, we prove large deviations principles for the increments of such…
We discrete the ergodic semilinear stochastic partial differential equations in space dimension $d \leq 3$ with additive noise, spatially by a spectral Galerkin method and temporally by an exponential Euler scheme. It is shown that both the…
In this paper, we consider an inference problem for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a general one-dimensional centered Gaussian process $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$. The second order mixed partial derivative of the covariance function $ R(t,\,…
Large deviation theory offers a powerful and general statistical framework to study the asymptotic dynamical properties of rare events. The application of the formalism to concrete experimental situations is, however, often restricted by…