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The role of instantons is investigated in the Lagrangian model for the velocity gradient evolution known as the Recent Fluid Deformation approximation. After recasting the model into the path-integral formalism, the probability distribution…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-01 Leonardo S. Grigorio , Freddy Bouchet , Rodrigo M. Pereira , Laurent Chevillard

Statistical early warning signs can be used to identify an approaching bifurcation in stochastic dynamical systems and are now regularly employed in applications concerned with the identification of potential rapid, non-linear change or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Lucia S. Layritz , Ilya Pavlyukevich , Anja Rammig , Christian Kuehn

In this paper we study the large deviations of time averaged mean square displacement (TAMSD) for Gaussian processes. The theory of large deviations is related to the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 J. Gajda , A. Wylomanska , H. Kantz , A. V. Chechkin , G. Sikora

We develop and analyze a numerical method for stochastic time-fractional diffusion driven by additive fractionally integrated Gaussian noise. The model involves two nonlocal terms in time, i.e., a Caputo fractional derivative of order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Bangti Jin , Yubin Yan , Zhi Zhou

In the "stochastic $\delta N$ formalism", the statistics of the inflationary density perturbation are obtained from the first passage distribution of a stochastic process. We develop a general framework in which to evaluate the rare tail of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-07 Jaime Calderón-Figueroa , David Seery

In this work, we provide the first strong convergence result of numerical approximation of a general second order semilinear stochastic fractional order evolution equation involving a Caputo derivative in time of order $\alpha\in(\frac 34,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Aurelien Junior Noupelah , Antoine Tambue

In light of recent advances in time-step independent stochastic integrators for Langevin equations, we revisit the considerations for using non-Gaussian distributions for the thermal noise term in discrete-time thermostats. We find that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-04 Niels Grønbech-Jensen

We introduce Gaussian orthogonal latent factor processes for modeling and predicting large correlated data. To handle the computational challenge, we first decompose the likelihood function of the Gaussian random field with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Mengyang Gu , Hanmo Li

In this paper, we present large deviation theory that characterizes the exponential estimate for rare events of stochastic dynamical systems in the limit of weak noise. We aim to consider next-to-leading-order approximation for more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Linghongzhi Lu , Xianbin Liu

We prove a bound for the Wasserstein distance between vectors of smooth complex random variables and complex Gaussians in the framework of complex Markov diffusion generators. For the special case of chaotic eigenfunctions, this bound can…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-03 Simon Campese

We study two problems. First, we consider the large deviation behavior of empirical measures of certain diffusion processes as, simultaneously, the time horizon becomes large and noise becomes vanishingly small. The law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pavlos Zoubouloglou

Transition pathways of stochastic dynamical systems are typically approximated by instantons. Here we show, using a dynamical system containing two competing pathways, that at low-to-intermediate temperatures, instantons can fail to capture…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-05 Lukas Kikuchi , Ronojoy Adhikari , Julian Kappler

We present a new analytic approach to describe large scale structure formation in the mildly non-linear regime. The central object of the method is the time-dependent probability distribution function generating correlators of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-09 Diego Blas , Mathias Garny , Mikhail M. Ivanov , Sergey Sibiryakov

In this work, we propose a novel methodology for robustly estimating particle size distributions from optical scattering measurements using constrained Gaussian process regression. The estimation of particle size distributions is commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Fahime Seyedheydari , Mahdi Nasiri , Marcin Mińkowski , Simo Särkkä

The problem of anomalous diffusion in momentum (velocity) space is considered based on the master equation and the appropriate probability transition function (PTF). The approach recently developed by the author for coordinate space, is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 S. A. Trigger

Approximation algorithms are widely used in many engineering problems. To obtain a data set for approximation a factorial design of experiments is often used. In such case the size of the data set can be very large. Therefore, one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-04 Mikhail Belyaev , Evgeny Burnaev , Yermek Kapushev

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Taras Bodnar , Dmitry Otryakhin , Erik Thorsen

We study the late time plateau behavior of the spectral form factor in the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUE) random matrix model. The time derivative of the spectral form factor in the plateau regime is not strictly zero, but non-zero due to…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2019-05-01 Kazumi Okuyama

In this paper Gaussian models of retarded and accelerated anomalous diffusion are considered. Stochastic differential equations of fractional order driven by single or multiple fractional Gaussian noise terms are introduced to describe…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-08 Chai Hok Eab , S. C. Lim

The results of a series of theoretical studies are reported, examining the convergence rate for different approximate representations of $\alpha$-stable distributions. Although they play a key role in modelling random processes with jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Marina Riabiz , Tohid Ardeshiri , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill