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This paper proposes FREEtree, a tree-based method for high dimensional longitudinal data with correlated features. Popular machine learning approaches, like Random Forests, commonly used for variable selection do not perform well when there…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-18 Yuancheng Xu , Athanasse Zafirov , R. Michael Alvarez , Dan Kojis , Min Tan , Christina M. Ramirez

Let $X = \{X_{u}\}_{u \in U}$ be a real-valued Gaussian process indexed by a set $U$. It can be thought of as an undirected graphical model with every random variable $X_{u}$ serving as a vertex. We characterize this graph in terms of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Kartik G. Waghmare , Victor M. Panaretos

We provide high probability finite sample complexity guarantees for hidden non-parametric structure learning of tree-shaped graphical models, whose hidden and observable nodes are discrete random variables with either finite or countable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-01 Konstantinos E. Nikolakakis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Anand D. Sarwate

We introduce the truncated Gaussian graphical model (TGGM) as a novel framework for designing statistical models for nonlinear learning. A TGGM is a Gaussian graphical model (GGM) with a subset of variables truncated to be nonnegative. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 Qinliang Su , Xuejun Liao , Changyou Chen , Lawrence Carin

We consider identifiability of partially linear additive structural equation models with Gaussian noise (PLSEMs) and estimation of distributionally equivalent models to a given PLSEM. Thereby, we also include robustness results for errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Jan Ernest , Peter Bühlmann

We address the problem of Bayesian structure learning for domains with hundreds of variables by employing non-parametric bootstrap, recursively. We propose a method that covers both model averaging and model selection in the same framework.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-14 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Guy Koren , Gal Novik

We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Martin Jankowiak , Jacob Gardner

In this work, we employ the Bayesian inference framework to solve the problem of estimating the solution and particularly, its derivatives, which satisfy a known differential equation, from the given noisy and scarce observations of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-09 Hongqiao Wang , Xiang Zhou

Prompted models have demonstrated impressive few-shot learning abilities. Repeated interactions at test-time with a single model, or the composition of multiple models together, further expands capabilities. These compositions are…

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

Ensemble of regression trees have become popular statistical tools for the estimation of conditional mean given a set of predictors. However, quantile regression trees and their ensembles have not yet garnered much attention despite the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Bereket P. Kindo , Hao Wang , Timothy Hanson , Edsel A. Peña

We show that $n$-variable tree-structured Ising models can be learned computationally-efficiently to within total variation distance $\epsilon$ from an optimal $O(n \ln n/\epsilon^2)$ samples, where $O(\cdot)$ hides an absolute constant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Constantinos Daskalakis , Qinxuan Pan

Two-part models and Tweedie generalized linear models (GLMs) have been used to model loss costs for short-term insurance contract. For most portfolios of insurance claims, there is typically a large proportion of zero claims that leads to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-11 Zhiyu Quan , Zhiguo Wang , Guojun Gan , Emiliano A. Valdez

Causal discovery algorithms aim at untangling complex causal relationships from data. Here, we study causal discovery and inference methods based on staged tree models, which can represent complex and asymmetric causal relationships between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-02 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

Bayesian networks are a widely-used class of probabilistic graphical models capable of representing symmetric conditional independence between variables of interest using the topology of the underlying graph. For categorical variables, they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-07 Gherardo Varando , Federico Carli , Manuele Leonelli

Bayesian networks faithfully represent the symmetric conditional independences existing between the components of a random vector. Staged trees are an extension of Bayesian networks for categorical random vectors whose graph represents…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

Several structural learning algorithms for staged tree models, an asymmetric extension of Bayesian networks, have been defined. However, they do not scale efficiently as the number of variables considered increases. Here we introduce the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-15 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

We provide finite sample guarantees for the classical Chow-Liu algorithm (IEEE Trans.~Inform.~Theory, 1968) to learn a tree-structured graphical model of a distribution. For a distribution $P$ on $\Sigma^n$ and a tree $T$ on $n$ nodes, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Sutanu Gayen , Eric Price , N. V. Vinodchandran

Structured prediction is a powerful framework for coping with joint prediction of interacting outputs. A central difficulty in using this framework is that often the correct label dependence structure is unknown. At the same time, we would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Ofer Meshi , Elad Eban , Gal Elidan , Amir Globerson

A compositional tree refers to a tree structure on a set of random variables where each random variable is a node and composition occurs at each non-leaf node of the tree. As a generalization of compositional data, compositional trees…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Bingkai Wang , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo , Chin-Fu Liu , Andreia V. Faria , Michael I. Miller , Yi Zhao
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